- Toulouse have scored 17 goals in 13 away matches
- PSG have scored an average of 2.0 goals across their last 5 home H2H meetings, with Toulouse averaging 1.5 goals across the same.
- Luis Enrique’s side have won 10 of 12 home Ligue 1 fixtures, conceding just 7 goals in the process
A clash of styles for Ligue 1’s stylistic litmus test
Paris Saint-Germain returned to winning ways in fine fashion last time out, thrashing Nice 4-0 on the road after losing 1-3 at home to Monaco. Such results are expected of Ligue 1’s runaway leaders, who have racked up 60 points from 26 matches this season, though Toulouse are no easy beats.
Friday’s away side have won three of their last five Ligue 1 games and lost the other two, and they head into this clash on the back of a two-game winning streak, beating FC Metz 4-3 and Lorient 1-0 in successive away games. With 37 points from 27 games, Toulouse have put together a solid mid-table campaign, one which keeps them in 9th place in the table.
The home side’s last meeting with Toulouse ended in a 6-3 away win, a result which means PSG have won the last three meetings between the sides and set the tone for an end-to-end match. In Ligue 1, PSG play a 4-3-3 system which often morphs into overload-heavy shapes, utilising high pressing, high tempo play and fluid rotations to dominate possession and smother their opponents.
Carles Martinez Novell’s Toulouse set up in a three-at-the-back system which allows them to be compact and well organised at the back, while they’re capable of turning the screw and getting some numbers forward on the break and from set pieces. They play at a slower tempo than PSG, who will be keen to impose their will on the game.
Paris St-Germain to dominate a counter-focussed Toulouse
PSG are a formidable team who can win games in so many different ways. They can dominate possession and keep the ball away from their opponents while also pressing teams off the field, making it difficult to get into any sort of rhythm.
While the odds on a PSG home win are extremely short at 1.28, we’re getting behind that bet with a smaller wager on the Over 2.5 goals market at 1.57, as well as Both Teams to Score - No at 1.8.
Bradley Barcola has the most goals for PSG in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 10 in 22 appearances, and has netted 3 of PSG's last 10 goals. Meanwhile, Yann Gboho has scored 8 goals in 26 Ligue 1 appearances for Toulouse, scoring nearly half of their last 5 match goals.
