- PSG have won four of their last five games in all competitions, including an 8-2 aggregate win over Chelsea in the UEFA Champions League.
- Liverpool are fifth in the Premier League table on 49 points from 31 games.
- Liverpool and PSG have had some close matches in recent years with PSG eliminating the Reds from the 2025 Round of 16 on penalties.
Paris vs Liverpool: A tale of the tape
Paris Saint-Germain have been almost unstoppable in Ligue 1 this season, racing to the top of the table with 63 points from 27 matches after their 3-1 win over Toulouse on April 3. Luis Enrique’s side play an attacking, possession-based version of 4-3-3 football, overwhelming teams on the flanks and playing fast, fluid football with quick passes and verticality.
The visitors arrive in Paris off the back of two defeats in their last three league matches, but a 4-0 Champions League win over Galatasaray at Anfield to overturn a first-leg deficit will have them confident of competing in Europe. Arne Slot’s style of football is more controlled and structured than Enrique’s, with Liverpool operating with inverted full-backs and a more controlled, coordinated midfield.
Squad freshness and fitness could be a factor, with Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah, their main attacking outpost, a doubt for the tie after scoring in the Anfield win over Galatasaray. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has been in red-hot form for PSG, though, scoring a brace and providing decisive assists in their 2025 Champions League run against Chelsea. PSG have looked electric in Europe, but a 1-3 defeat to Monaco in late March showed their defensive vulnerabilities.
Lots of goals likely with PSG on the edge of history
The bookies rate PSG as the clear favourites for this game at 1.69, with Liverpool at 4.3. However, the value selection here is Over 2.5 goals at 1.5, as both PSG and Liverpool have been involved in some goal-laden clashes recently. PSG’s attacking style of play has seen them collect 63 points from 27 league games, while Liverpool have 49 points from 31 in the top flight.
It’s difficult to split these two teams and it’s probably fair to say that PSG have been the better side this season, although Liverpool have been solid in the Champions League, beating Galatasaray 4 - 0 at Anfield to overturn a first-leg deficit. They are certainly capable of scoring the goals that would make this a close affair after the first leg.
PSG have been in better form than Liverpool this term, and their home form in the UEFA Champions League, along with their fireworks against Chelsea, sees them into the tie as slight favourites.
However, we feel Liverpool have the counter-attacking threat to keep this quarter-final close ahead of the return leg at Anfield. It will come down to whether PSG can break through Liverpool’s compact midfield with their wide overloads or if Liverpool can break through the PSG central midfielders to hit on the counter. A PSG win or draw is more likely in the result markets as Enrique’s men look to defend their European crown, while Liverpool look to avenge their penalty shootout heartbreak of 2025.
