- Austria Wien's two defeats in their last 10 matches were at home in their most recent two fixtures.
- Braga are undefeated in their last 10 games across all competitions (W5, D5).
- Braga have conceded just four goals in four home games across all competitions (W2, D2).
Braga better than Austria Wien in most departments
There is nothing in the recent head-to-head record to suggest that Austria Wien can get something out of the game against SC Braga at Estadio Municipal de Braga on Thursday. The Portuguese hosts are unbeaten in their last 10 across all competitions, winning five and drawing five, and can get the better of an Austrian side that are in decent form themselves.
The visitors arrive in Portugal with six wins, two draws and just two defeats in their last 10 fixtures, but the last two games have been a setback. They lost 0-2 at home to LASK Linz in the Austrian Bundesliga and were then beaten 1-2 at home by Beitar Jerusalem in UEFA Conference League Qualification, albeit winning 4-2 on penalties to progress. So the value will be with the visitors at 8.5, while the home side are 1.4 and the draw is 4.5.
Braga have been solid rather than spectacular in their recent fixtures - their two most recent results being a 2-2 away draw at Moreirense in the Primeira Liga and 0-0 at Dinamo Minsk in UEFA Conference League Qualification. But both of these teams are in good form and won't be easy to get a hold of, so it's hardly a surprise that Braga have gone three wins and two draws in their last five across all competitions.
Austria Wien’s only real outlet is Boateng
Ricardo Horta has been Braga's spark in this competition, scoring three goals in the UEFA Conference League Qualification, but Kelvin Boateng has been Austria Wien's sharpest edge with two in three matches.
Carlos Vicens has his team well organised in a back-three with wing-backs and they can play at different tempos to get opponents out of shape. They will look to control this fixture and see it out if they can as, in their home comforts, the Arsenalistas are a tough nut to crack.
Stephan Helm's men are a possession first side that like to keep the ball and patiently build pressure, but they can be more direct after the break when the game stretches out. They have won two of their three away matches across all competitions, but shipped three goals on their travels, which suggests the hosts should have the quality to edge this one.
The market doesn't look great here, but the short odds on Braga certainly makes sense with the draw and double chance priced much higher than it should be. The best play is to take BTTS - NO at 1.93 and under 2.5 Goals at 2.27.
