- Paderborn have taken 4 points from their first 4 Bundesliga 2026/2027 fixtures and are currently 12th in the standings.
- Stuttgart have 3 points from their opening 4 Bundesliga 2026/2027 fixtures and are 15th in the table, so the gap is much smaller than the odds suggest.
Paderborn can play with the big boys in home backyard
Stuttgart have a long history in the Bundesliga and they will always be one of the biggest clubs in the Bundesliga ahead of their Bundesliga 2026/2027 clash at Home Deluxe Arena this Saturday.
With 1 win and 1 loss from 2 home fixtures, and only 2 goals conceded in those 2 games, Paderborn have demonstrated their ability to mix it with Stuttgart in their back yard during the early stages of this season.
And, after 4 Bundesliga 2026/2027 matches, they sit 12th in the league and have shown the grit of a side likely to survive. Their recent run of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 games is nothing to sneeze at, and they head into this game on the back of a 3-1 win over Hoffenheim in Bundesliga 2026/2027 and a 1-0 away win against D.C. United in a friendly last week.
Ralf Kettemann has been Paderborn head coach since 1 July 2025 and has the club playing a brand of football that is compact, but fast and dynamic in transition. They pack the box when out of possession, but can fly forward at pace when they regain the ball, which they often do after deep, but purposeful, balls into the box.
Stuttgart still a work in progress
While Paderborn lack a regular goal source - Santiago Castaneda has scored a Bundesliga 2026/2027 goal and is their current top scorer - they have some nice depth in wide areas and midfield.
Jonah Sticker has given them some spark in 3 Bundesliga 2026/2027 matches this season, supplying 1 assist, but this contest will be won by whichever team can better dominate possession and then counter attack effectively.
That will be Stuttgart, of course, who want the ball, want tempo and will try to dominate their opponents with patient possession and clever pressing from their 4-2-3-1 formation.
Sebastian Hoeness has been head coach at VfB Stuttgart since 3 April 2023 and his team has a great structure around the buildup and they combine in tight spaces as well as any side in the Bundesliga.
Ermedin Demirovic has been their best finisher in recent matches, scoring 4 of their 13 goals in the past 5, while Josha Vagnoman, who has scored 2 Bundesliga 2026/2027 goals in 4 appearances, is the latest late-developing threat to arrive.
Back the visitors to get something from the game
Our betting selection for this game is VfB Stuttgart, who are the clear favourites at 1.59 in the outright market, while SC Paderborn 07 are 4.7 and the draw 4.35.
Paderborn have shown enough quality and spirit in their first 4 Bundesliga 2026/2027 games to be respected, but Stuttgart have the personnel and structure to win most of the games they should be winning.
Their last 3 results - a 2-1 defeat at Hoffenheim, a 1-0 home loss to Dortmund and a 5-0 friendly win against Greuther Furth - should offer an insight into how they will fare at Paderborn.
Die Schwaben will dominate the game, but Die Ostwestfalen are good enough to counter and can cause problems when they get their hands on the ball.
Therefore, a narrow Stuttgart win or a tense draw is the most likely script and the visitors should have the quality to get through if the hosts fold. Backing both teams to score at 1.44 could be the way to go if you fancy a bigger risk than the 1X2 markets in this type of fixture.
