- Riverside Olympic have won 3 of their 7 away games in NPL Tasmania 2026, drawing 1 and losing 3, while South East United have won 4 and lost 4 of their 8 home games.
- Riverside Olympic won 5-0 when they last met South East United in NPL Tasmania 2026.
- Riverside Olympic have scored 1.29 goals per game and conceded 2.00 on average in away games during NPL Tasmania 2026.
Compact hosts can cause problems for Riverside
Riverside Olympic enter Saturday's NPL Tasmania 2026 game as the clear favourites to win at 1.57, with South East United 4.26 outsiders and the draw 4.35, but the gap between the two sides doesn't look as large as the bookmakers suggest.
The visitors do have more of an edge on the head-to-head record, having thumped South East 5-0 the last time these two sides met in NPL Tasmania 2026, but the hosts have been on a good run of late and have already enjoyed some good scalps of teams rated much higher than them.
Adam Shackcloth's men have won 3 of their last 5 games and lost 2, with the last of those games being a 4-1 home win over Launceston United coming just 6 days after a 2-0 defeat away at Devonport City.
The hosts sit 7th in the NPL Tasmania 2026 table with 15 points from 16 games and still have plenty of work to do to break into the play-off mix, although they'll be up for this game.
Riverside have 24 points from the same number of games, putting them in 5th place and in a much stronger position to challenge for a finals berth.
Hélder Dos Santos Silva has moulded the visitors into a hard-working, compact unit that can cut the space quickly and force their opponents into low-percentage chances.
South East United are a direct team that can hurt opponents on the break when they're playing well, but they are also a team that has left large gaps when beaten through the first line of defence.
There's a real contrast between these two and it should be an interesting game of football, with Riverside's organisation and pressing prowess capable of testing South East United's structure, while the home team's quick counters can punish overcommitment.
On paper, this is a Riverside win, but South East United have been very lively at home, winning 3 from 3, and Riverside Olympic have not been totally dominant on the road, averaging 1.29 goals per away game and conceding 2.00 in NPL Tasmania 2026.
We think Riverside Olympic should edge out a competitive game, so we're going for the away win and goals when it comes to this one, with Over 2.5 goals at 1.25 and BTTS - Yes at 1.33 looking short.
