- Ulverstone have won one, drawn one and lost six of their eight home games in NPL Tasmania 2026.
- South East United have won three and lost two of their last five games, winning each of the last two.
- South East United are averaging 1.00 goal scored and 3.12 goals conceded per-game on the road, Ulverstone are conceding 3.75 per-game at home.
Fast and furious is what the visitors want
South East United will want to play fast and aggressive footy on Saturday and the visitors arrive at 1.55, which is the right price as they are a better team than the hosts who are listed at 4.55 and the draw at 4.25. Ulverstone have lost their last three and look to be in poor nick. SE United are a team that plays football with the ball, they will push their fullbacks high up the field, they will press high up the pitch and when they win the ball, they hit their opponents in waves. Ulverstone are a side that sets up to stay in the game and will be looking for counterattacking opportunities, so this could be a clash of styles.
Ulverstone can compete
SE United will be the favourite to win this match and rightfully so given their record this season, however, Ulverstone are a well-organised team who have had a tough run of fixtures in the last few weeks. Under Michael Amos, they have a coach who sets his team up to survive, so they can be competitive even if they don't dominate the possession. The hosts have an average of 3.75 goals conceded in their home games, so if they can stay in the match for an hour or so, they should get some chances on the counter or from set pieces, which could turn this into a scrap.
The draw still appeals
The market is leaning towards goals and Over 2.5 at 1.32 and Both Teams To Score: Yes at 1.39 are on the verge of turning over their heads. This has all the hallmarks of an away win, but Ulverstone will be desperate for a result and they can certainly stay in the contest if they can hang on for a while. SE United are in the better form with three wins and two draws from their last five and they beat Ulverstone 2-0 at home two months ago in NPL Tasmania 2026.
SE United have one win from eight on the road, but that record doesn't tell the whole story as Ulverstone are the team who have been in a downward spiral in recent weeks. The Ulverstone team has one win and four losses from their last five matches and they lost 0-2 at home to Glenorchy Knights before succumbing 1-0 to Clarence Zebras in their next fixture on the road, so they're a little short on cutting edge.
South East United have had some good results lately, winning both games against bottom two teams, they backed up a 4-1 home win over Launceston United with a 3-1 victory over Riverside Olympic, so the attack is in form. SE United have 18 points from 17 games and sit 7th in NPL Tasmania 2026, while Ulverstone are 10th with four points from 17, so it's easy to see why the away side is favoured.
