- AC Milan's last 5 results have been 3 wins and 2 draws.
- SL Benfica's last 5 results have been 5 straight wins.
- AC Milan are unbeaten in 2 home matches in all competitions (1 win, 1 draw) and have scored 3 goals in those games.
Stylistic clash should lead to tight game
AC Milan enter this fixture as slight favourites at 28/25 against the odds, but will have to be careful against SL Benfica's red-hot streak. Both sides are playing excellent football in their respective leagues, but the contrasting styles of Rúben Amorim and Marco Silva could produce a tight midfield battle on Wednesday.
The Rossoneri set up with a back-three base and two wing-backs in their 2-2 draw at Lazio on Saturday. There is controlled build-up play to get their players into the channels, but the wing-backs provide width and they can push up the field at pace. A similar game plan is expected at San Siro against the Eagles.
Benfica set up with a compact four-man base and sharp vertical transitions to get men ahead of the ball. They selectively press in waves to snap into the attacks quickly and with Gianluca Prestianni in electric form, the Eagles always have the potential to explode forward. The forward has scored 5 goals in Benfica's last 5 matches as they have piled up 15 goals.
Rossoneri can edge a cagey clash
We could see a real chess game develop at San Siro as both teams are playing well. Milan are a little more solid in their approach and should use their home advantage and favourite's tag to keep this fixture close. Benfica are on a 5-match winning run after 0-3 and 0-4 away wins at CS Maritimo Funchal and Moreirense in the Primeira Liga 2026/2027 respectively, but have been made to work hard for their results away from home.
The Rossoneri have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 in their last 10 matches in all competitions, which is a decent run but not an exceptional one. Their last two matches have been draws, 1-1 away at Juventus and 2-2 away at Lazio, which could mean that another draw at 49/20 is on the cards.
But Benfica are also a tricky opponent and have not been beaten in their last 10 in all competitions (8 wins, 2 draws). They will be the outsiders, which looks a lot here, but our preferred selection has to be under 2.5 goals at 23/20. Benfica's recent results include a 3-1 home win over Gil Vicente in Primeira Liga 2026/2027, so they are still turning the screw at both ends.
Take the draw and under 2.5 goals as the most likely results from this clash of attacking football styles in Italy.
