- AGF Aarhus have failed to win 4 of their last 5 matches in all competitions.
- SL Benfica have won 3 of their last 5 in all competitions.
- SL Benfica have scored 33 goals in their last 10 across all competitions (avg. 3.30).
A clear step up for AGF Aarhus
This should be an entertaining game between two very different sides in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 at Cepheus Park Randers, Denmark, on Thursday.
AGF Aarhus have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten in all competitions, so their form is mixed at best going into this game.
Their most recent two results have been a 2-0 defeat to Viborg FF in the Superliga and a 3-1 defeat to Benfica in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026, which is clearly the better reflection of the class disparity in the two sides.
Jakob Poulsen has his men set up in a compact, disciplined shape that should make them difficult to break down, but they transition quickly on the ball and are aggressive enough in their pressing.
However, this is a clear step up for them and they will do well to keep Benfica out of their box, never mind their goal, with the game likely to be a clash of control vs counter.
Benfica are in the zone
Marco Silva, who took charge of SL Benfica on the first of July 2026, has got his men playing a very controlled, high-pressing style in the 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 system.
They have scored 33 times in their last 10 games across all competitions (average 3.30 per-game) and they have been banging in goals for fun.
Their most recent 2 results have been a 7-0 win over Casa Pia Atletico in the Primeira Liga and a 3-1 win over AGF Aarhus in the UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026.
That makes their form 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 in all competitions (W6, D2, L2 across their previous 10) and they look ruthless in the final third with Greek sharpshooter Vangelis Pavlidis (6 goals in 4 games).
AGF have a chance to keep it close
Benfica are priced up at 21/50 for this game, so there is still enough in the market for AGF to snag an upset at Cepheus Park Randers.
The odds of 37/10 still leave room for the Byens Hold to leave a mark in the tie, but I believe Benfica are the better side and will take their 3-1 advantage from last week as enough to carry them through to the next round.
AGF are on a 3-game losing streak and their back line will be under pressure. They average 1.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in all competitions so they'll be chasing the game for much of it. Over 2.5 goals looks solid at 53/100 with both teams to score leaning towards yes at 7/10, but the best bet is on Benfica to take another win with a 2-1 score line.
