- Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 games in all competitions (L1).
- Brentford have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5 matches in all competitions.
A cracking match-up at both ends of the pitch
Unbeaten in their opening 2 Premier League 2026-2027 away games, drawing both, Brentford have looked like an honest top-four contender in 4th position with 9 points from 5 matches.
The Bees have won their last 2 head-to-head clashes with Aston Villa in the league, including a 1-0 victory away from home 8 months ago, so there is no reason to fear the Villans at all on Saturday.
Brentford have won 2 of their last 5 Premier League 2026/2027 matches, so they should enter Villa Park in confident mood.
Villa Park hasn't been a happy hunting ground for Aston Villa so far in the Premier League 2026/2027 season, as they are winless in 2 matches and have scored just 0.50 goals per game whilst conceding 1.50 goals on average. So it seems to me that the 'home' advantage has already been nullified and that the draw or the away win are the only sensible outcomes on the result market.
Alysson Edward to continue Villa’s attacking threat
Aston Villa are winless in their only 2 home matches in the Premier League 2026-2027 and have conceded 1.50 goals per match here.
Aston Villa have won their last 3 consecutive matches, defeating Coventry City, Tottenham and Sevilla FC and their attack has had plenty of bite in recent matches.
Alysson Edward leads the Aston Villa goal charts with 1 goal in 4 appearances in Premier League 2026-2027, while John McGinn has provided 2 assists in his 5 appearances in the competition so far to help keep the attack ticking over nicely.
Brentford have played a direct, physical 3-at-the-back style of football under Keith Andrews this season and they have been a threat at both ends of the field in recent weeks.
Kevin Schade has been Brentford's greatest threat in Premier League 2026/2027, with 3 goals in 5 matches and 3 of the Bees' last 9 goals overall.
The value is with the Bees
Although Aston Villa will control possession and try to keep the ball and pin Brentford back, this should be a game where the Villans will have to stay focused on possession.
Brentford will do everything in their power to make this a track meet of a match, by pushing the wing backs forward and looking to hit the hosts on the counter-attack. Therefore, over 2.5 goals at 67/100 and Both Teams To Score at 11/20 looks like a great option here.
The odds are very close with Aston Villa and Brentford both listed at 77/50 and the draw at 51/20, and Villa sit 16th in Premier League 2026-2027 with just 4 points from 5 games, so the pressure is on Emery's men to win this one.
Although Villa have been in much better form, I think Brentford will avoid defeat here in what should be a close, tense affair.
