- Spurs and Villa are the two clubs currently in 18th and 19th place in the Premier League 2026/2027 with 1 and 1 point, respectively.
- Spurs are favourites at 97/100, with the draw at 51/20 and Villa at 51/20.
- Spurs have won 1 of their last 5 matches (D2, L2), Villa have lost 3 of their last 5 (W1, D1, L3).
Tight tussle expected at the bottom of the table
Tottenham Hotspur are favourites for their home fixture against Aston Villa on Saturday and they deserve the favouritism given they're currently in better form and the head-to-head is split 1-1 over the last two clashes.
However, the Villans can certainly take it to Spurs at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and the 97/100 price for the hosts looks a bit low considering both teams are desperate for points after poor starts to the Premier League 2026/2027 campaign.
The home side have won one of their five competitive matches so far (D2, L2), which has left them in 18th position with just one point from their first three games. Roberto De Zerbi's side have looked sharp in the build-up and have been more direct and positive than in previous seasons, but the 5-1 home win over Charlton Athletic in the EFL Cup 2026/2027 was immediately followed by a 2-0 loss at home to Newcastle in the league which brought them back to earth with a bump.
De Zerbi’s Spurs can be dangerous in possession
De Zerbi has been in charge since 31st March 2026 and has certainly sharpened up Tottenham's build-up play, although the Italian's approach of asking his players to take risks and play one-vs-one situations in the final third has yet to consistently convert into goals.
The 0-0 draw away at Nottingham Forest in Premier League 2026/2027 fixtures was a good effort, but it also highlighted the fact that Spurs can control games when they want to and have the ball, but still lack the sharpness in the box.
Unai Emery has been in charge of Villa since 1st November 2022 and his approach of structured pressing and counter-attacking remains very much in place. The Villans are a more direct side than Spurs, they're not afraid to get into half-spaces and break fast, but they have been blunt on the road in the Premier League 2026/2027 so far, having scored 0 goals in two away matches and won none.
Villa are blunter than Spurs and yet to land a punch in the Premier League 2026/2027
Villa did land a decent blow with their 3-2 away win at Club Brugge KV in the UEFA Champions League League Stage 2026/2027, but the 1-2 loss at home to Nottingham Forest later the same day was a bitter pill to swallow.
This could be a close game, but Spurs are the favourites for a reason and the momentum is with them. Over 2.5 goals looks a good fit for this game at 77/100, as does both teams to score at 13/20, although we're going for a home win.
Spurs nicked the last meeting 2-1 away from home four months ago and the head-to-head is tied at 1-1 over the last two, but Spurs are more used to playing this style of football under De Zerbi.
Spurs average 2.5 goals scored in the last five head-to-heads at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and Villa have averaged 1.5 in the same games, so we're expecting plenty of action at both ends in this relegation battle.
