- Borussia Dortmund have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches.
- FC Augsburg have won three and lost two of their last five.
- The head-to-head record between these sides has been very close with both sides claiming a win apiece and no draws in their three most recent encounters.
Dortmund to dominate with the visitors in tow
Borussia Dortmund are in second place in the Bundesliga with 55 points from 25 games. Niko Kovac took charge in February 2025 and has instilled a structure in the team that is both disciplined and compact, whether playing with a back three or a back four. Dortmund control the ball well, can be tough to penetrate and, when they do find the gaps, they can play at pace in the vertical.
At home, Dortmund have won nine, drawn two and lost just one of their 12 Bundesliga games. Their most recent results have seen Dortmund win 2-1 away to FC Koeln and lose 2-3 at home to Bayern Munich. Serhou Guirassy is their main man up front with 12 goals in 24 Bundesliga appearances, four of which have come in their last five.
Augsburg sit in ninth place in the Bundesliga with 31 points from 25 matches, a mid-table finish that would represent a good season for the club. Manuel Baum took over as head coach in December 2025 and has tried to instil a high-energy style of play in the side, a tactic that involves high-pressing opposition and playing at tempo on the break when they get the ball back. It can be a potent formula, but Augsburg have yet to consistently execute it to its full potential.
Away from home, Augsburg are still a work in progress
The visitors have had some success on the road this season, winning three, drawing one and losing eight of their 12 Bundesliga matches away. They have scored 1.17 goals per-game away from home, which is good for a mid-table side, but have conceded 2.00 goals per-game on their travels, which will be a big concern for Baum.
In a recent head-to-head, Dortmund won 1-0 away to Augsburg in the Bundesliga four months ago. Augsburg are more in form at present, but Dortmund have a better record at home and will be expected to take all three points here. The odds on a Dortmund win look very short, so we’re going to back Dortmund to win and both teams to score in a game that should be end to end.
In terms of a correct score, Dortmund score an average of 2.33 goals and concede an average of 0.92 at home in the Bundesliga. Augsburg score an average of 1.17 and concede an average of 2.00 away from home in the Bundesliga. Borussia Dortmund and FC Augsburg have scored an average of 2.5 and 1.0 goals respectively in their Bundesliga head-to-heads. Augsburg’s leading goal scorer is Alexis Claude-Maurice, who has scored four goals in 21 Bundesliga appearances this season. Dortmund’s Julian Ryerson has been in fine form, providing five assists in his last five appearances, so we’re backing a home win with goals at both ends and over 2.5 goals on Saturday.
