- Borussia Monchengladbach have lost all three of their home league games this season, scoring 2.33 and conceding 3.33 goals per game on average.
- SC Paderborn 07 have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five in all competitions.
- Gladbach's only one Bundesliga 2026/2027 win so far has come in their last two games, but they're still propping up the table on 3pts from 7.
Fohlens could just find the edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach look the likelier winner in Saturday's fixture between the two sides in the Bundesliga 2026/2027, but the value lies elsewhere in a tight contest at Ista-Borussia-Park. Die Fohlen are 22/25 favourites with Paderborn 51/20 and the draw 29/10, but the form and stats suggest that the visitors have a chance in this fixture.
A run of one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five hasn't exactly stabilised Alexander Blessin's team, but the recent improvement and their slightly better away record mean that there's hope for Gladbach. Blessin has been in charge of Borussia Mönchengladbach since 22 September 2026, so his side are still very much a work in progress, but he has seen some good things in the last few games.
Gladbach's two league games prior to the international break ended in completely opposite results, with a 1-2 home defeat to Hoffenheim followed by a 2-3 win at Stuttgart, while their away matches have generally been more successful this season. Hugo Bolin, who scores goals and creates goals, is their spark and top scorer for the 2026/2027 season so far with two in four appearances.
Compact Paderborn can be tough to play through
The hosts have had three chances to put one over their neighbours to the north and failed, so Gladbach may not be as certain as the bookmakers think to win this fixture. SC Paderborn 07 have had a solid start to the Bundesliga 2026/2027 campaign with 8pts from their first seven matches, putting them 12th in the table and five points ahead of Gladbach.
Ralf Kettemann took charge at Paderborn on 1 July 2025 and has turned out to be a good appointment with his compact, high-intensity team tough to break down. They've won three, drawn one and lost only once in their last five in all competitions, so they come to Ista-Borussia-Park in good form.
Paderborn's last three league matches have been a bit of a rollercoaster, however, as they lost 2-0 to Stuttgart at home, drew 2-2 at Werder Bremen, then beat Hamburg 1-0 at home in the Bundesliga 2026/2027. Santiago Castaneda has just one Bundesliga 2026/2027 goal to his name after four appearances, while Stefano Marino has two goals in the past five and looks sharp in transition.
Expect a good contest for the points
We're happy to back Paderborn to get a result on their trip to North Rhine-Westphalia as they are good for a draw at worst against an inconsistent Gladbach team. There's a clash of styles here as the home side like to play front-foot football with lots of wing play, fast vertical transitions and a strong counter-press, while Paderborn will try to be compact and hit on the counter-attack.
We're going to back over 2.5 goals at 9/20 as the livelier angle here and both teams to score at 21/50 also fits the fixture well as there should be plenty of chances in an open contest.
