- Cagliari are undefeated in their last five matches (W2, D3), drawing two in a row.
- Arezzo have been good away from home in all competitions (W2, D2, L2), but have conceded seven goals in six trips this season.
- Cagliari are the 7/20 favourites to win this single-leg Coppa Italia match, with Arezzo 8/1.
Tight tussle expected between shrewd teams
Cagliari come into this tie as the clear favourites based on recent performances and league position, but Arezzo will fancy their chance to cause an upset here after good away form in all competitions (W2, D2, L2). Fabio Pisacane's Cagliari are a compact, shape first side that do what they do well, and do it in a way that makes them a stubborn opponent. The club from Sardegna are an organised unit that will look to control the ball and transition quickly, and their recent form has been solid, if unspectacular. Indeed, they're unbeaten in their last five and have a 4-4-2 record in their last ten all-competitions (W4, D4, L2), but those results also include a 2-2 away draw with 1. FC Union Berlin and a 0-0 home draw with OGC Nice in Friendly Club Matches 2026.
Cagliari to edge out Arezzo
Cristian Bucchi's Arezzo are an attacking side that have been decent on their travels this season, and they're likely to play with confidence on Friday. The visitors have been aggressive on the front foot in their recent matches, pressing high and playing a high-tempo game designed to force turnovers.
Arezzo's recent form reads as two wins, one draw and two defeats, which makes them a tough nut to crack in this encounter. In fact, the two clubs have had similar form in all-competitions with Cagliari reading as four wins, four draws and two defeats and Arezzo five wins, two draws and three defeats.
Cagliari will want to control the pace and flow of this cup tie, which should lead to a clash of control vs chaos. If all goes to plan for Pisacane, then his side will have the advantage, but the odds are pretty tight with the Sardinians coming into this fixture at 7/20. However, the visitors are an attractive 8/1 to get the upset and we feel that number reflects the fact that this is a cup matchup where anything can happen.
Under 2.5 goals at 11/10 and BTTS No at 77/100 are both great prices, but a narrow home success or even a Cagliari win to nil is the best number to fit the numbers.