- Frosinone have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches.
- Cagliari have one loss, one draw and zero wins in their last two home matches.
- Frosinone's Antonio Raimondo has scored four goals in five Serie A 2026/2027 matches, while Daniel Maldini has bagged three in five for the Rossoblù.
Giallazzurri can get goal power edge
Cagliari have been far from rock solid in their shape at home under new boss Fabio Pisacane - but they've also been more open to attack on their own turf. Pisacane has had the reins at the Sardinian club since 11th June 2025 and he has employed a low-to-medium block which doesn't press a lot but is extremely compact in structure.
This has allowed Cagliari to keep things very narrow and allows them to build up patiently, but it doesn't lend itself to the odd counter-attacking goal. The Rossoblù have conceded four goals at home in Serie A 2026/2027 and average 1.00 per game - which is a good ratio, but they still need a bit more sharpness in both boxes to push on this season.
Frosinone boss Massimiliano Alvini has been in charge since 2nd July 2025 and he has instilled a totally different mindset to his men, who press high, look to get into the second phase of attack and are not afraid to take risks. This has resulted in an average of 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match in Serie A 2026/2027, which is definitely 'open-ended'!
Cagliari have a point to prove
A trip to Atalanta Bergamo saw them come away with an incredible 4-4 draw and they then hammered Lecce 5-1 at home last weekend. Frosinone are in much better form than Cagliari, who sit 11th with 13 points from nine matches, while the Giallazzurri are sixth with 17 points and giving the European spots a nudge.
But Frosinone have failed to win on any of their last three visits to Cagliari and the home side will need to make a point to their supporters after a three-match losing streak of their defeats to Monza, Bologna and Roma. In Daniel Maldini, who has bagged three of the team's last four in their previous five, Cagliari have a focal point up top, while Frosinone have a similar figure in Antonio Raimondo, who has notched four of their total 13 in the last five games.
Home fans can take the Giallazzurri to the wire
Frosinone are 21/10 to get the result on Saturday, but the odds suggest this could be a touch closer than it seems. Cagliari are 61/50 to win, but at odds on, it looks a bit tight either way.
However, a home record of one win, one draw and two defeats from four in Serie A 2026/2027 is hardly rock solid and Frosinone's four away matches, which have seen them average two goals scored and two conceded, look more reliable. The Giallazzurri have Fares Ghedjemis to supply, having racked up four assists in his last five appearances.
This looks like a chess match between two good bosses, but Frosinone's away scoring and Cagliari's rocky run of results suggests the visitors can nick this one. There will be chances at both ends, so we'll take over 2.5 goals and both teams to score - yes at 39/100 and 19/50 respectively.
