- Parma have one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five games.
- Bologna have four wins and one defeat from their last five.
- In the Derby dell'Emilia, Parma have won one and Bologna have won two of the last three meetings.
Bologna bid to hold derby bragging rights
Parma have struggled in Serie A 2026/2027 with only five points from nine games to leave them in 18th spot and showing no signs of steadying the ship so far. However, Bologna have some great momentum after a 0-2 away win at Cagliari, a 2-4 away success at AC Milan and a 2-1 home victory over Monza. It should be an exciting derby when I Crociati take on Bologna at the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Saturday, especially as I Rossoblù also have some momentum after their own recent three-game winning streak.
The 87/100 price on both teams to score has just enough merit to tip one way or the other, but our selection of Under 2.5 goals at 7/10 looks more fitting of the tactical set up these two clubs tend to deploy in Serie A 2026/2027.
Alberto Gilardino has tried to make Parma a more free-flowing and fluid 3-5-2 or 3-4-2-1 team, with more quick vertical snaps after winning the ball back and a higher line of engagement. Bologna have a structured style too, based around a back-three, wing-backs, plenty of build-up rotations and organisation to play with numbers higher up the pitch.
Back Bologna to edge out their hosts
Raffaele Palladino's side are a tough nut to crack, but this has not been a fortress for Parma, with one win, two draws and two defeats on their own patch so far. Bologna have won three and lost two of their five away matches in the league this term, so they are a punchy proposition on their travels.
At the other end, Bologna have scored 1.60 goals per away match in Serie A 2026/2027 and conceded just 1.00 per game, which is why they are the narrow favourite at 1/1 while Parma are at 53/20 and the draw is at 47/20.
The visitors have that little bit more momentum and appear more likely to edge out a result, but Parma have a proven recent record of getting results in this derby, especially at home, where they average 1.5 goals in those five head-to-head home meetings, which is why a 1-1 draw looks just as likely as a 1-0 win.
Bologna have also conceded 1.00 goals per game away from home in Serie A 2026/2027, which means they can be breached by the hosts at some stage of this clash. Parma have conceded six goals in those five home games in the major league, so it is possible that Samuel Mbangula's three goals in Bologna's last five will be enough to help them to a win on Saturday.
Artem Dovbyk has one goal in three Serie A 2026/2027 games, but is still Bologna's main man at the pointy end of the field, while David Romero is Parma's top-scorer with two goals in four games and remains their sharpest outlet in the final third.
