- Chesterfield are unbeaten in their last 3 home matches (W2, D1).
- Crewe Alexandra have lost their last 2 matches.
Chesterfield look too hot for Crewe
Chesterfield will finish seventh in League Two 2025/2026 with 73 points from 44 matches and have enjoyed a strong campaign in general, but their inability to beat Crewe Alexandra at home has hindered their progress further.
Crewe Alexandra will finish 10th in League Two 2025/2026 with 66 points from 44 games, seven points fewer than their hosts on Saturday, but have struggled to get results away from home this term, particularly against the better sides in the division.
The Railwaymen are winless in two after back-to-back defeats in the league - a 3-2 defeat at Grimsby Town followed by a 3-1 home loss to Milton Keynes Dons. Lee Bell has overseen a solid campaign since his appointment in November 2022 and has continued to stress the importance of his side’s technical ability in the midfield, as well as youth development and tactical flexibility.
High-scoring affair on the cards
But Chesterfield are a much better side than most in this division and their players have been relentless in pressing opponents since Paul Cook took charge in February 2022. His system of play is a 4-2-3-1 in which a No.10 is allowed to get on the ball and create, but the emphasis is on vertical football and high pressing to disrupt the opposition’s play.
The result of this approach is that Chesterfield have been involved in some thrilling fixtures this term - their home record is an impressive W10, D8, L4 and they have averaged 1.64 goals per match at home (36 in total), so a high-scoring fixture could be on the agenda here. Chesterfield have won two and drawn one of their last three matches, drawing 1-1 at Fleetwood Town, beating Grimsby Town 2-1 at home and drawing 1-1 at home to Tranmere Rovers last time out.
Crewe can grab a goal
Backing Chesterfield to win and both teams to score could be the best way to go here as The Spireites are the clear favourites to win on Saturday and Crewe’s Josh March has bagged 11 goals in 38 appearances in League Two 2025/2026 and is his club’s main goal threat.
Lee Bonis has nine goals in 43 matches in League Two 2025/2026 and is Chesterfield’s highest scorer, but they should have enough quality all over the pitch to put some distance between themselves and Crewe on Saturday. The Railwaymen have conceded 28 goals in 22 away matches in League Two 2025/2026 and look vulnerable at the back on their travels, so we’re taking both teams to net here at 17/25.
Chesterfield to win will be the main selection for this game at 31/50, as Chesterfield are in better form than their visitors and have a much superior home record. Crewe are tough to beat and have a bit more quality in their ranks than the majority of teams in League Two 2025/2026, but we’re backing the hosts to take all three points in what could be an end-to-end game, as a clash of Chesterfield’s high-pressing game and Crewe’s patient possession play could lead to gaps at the back.
Over 2.5 goals will be the correct score forecast for this one at 67/100, although a result in the region of 2-1 to Chesterfield has a better chance of coming in.
