- ESTAC have won three and drawn two of their last five in all competitions, with no defeats.
- Paris FC have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five in all competitions.
- ESTAC have failed to win either of their last two home meetings with Paris FC.
Troyes looking like the team more likely
ES Troyes AC will come into their home match against Paris FC in much better form than the visitors, having lost just once in their last ten in all competitions (Won 7, Drawn 2, Lost 1).
Stephane Dumont's men have been particularly strong at the Stade de l'Aube recently, winning four and drawing one of their last five there, while they've scored 12 goals in their most recent five home matches, suggesting that they can turn the screw on any team in front of their own fans.
Paris FC are the slight favourites in the betting at 37/25, but ESTAC are only two places behind them at 41/25, with the draw priced at 5/2, which tells you how close these two teams are in the match result market.
Liam Rosenior’s men could edge it
Les Parisiens have been fairly inconsistent on their travels in all competitions of late, winning just one, drawing one and losing three of their last five away from home. They have averaged 1.60 goals per-game on their travels, scoring eight goals in total.
Paris FC have dominated the head-to-head with ES Troyes AC in recent times, winning the last three meetings between the clubs, including a 1-0 victory at home in Ligue 2 2024/2025. But the visitors arrive on the back of a two-match losing streak after a 4-0 defeat away to 1. FSV Mainz 05 and a 3-2 loss to Angers SCO.
Sides could cancel each other out
Liam Rosenior's side have been a little better than these results suggest as the head-to-head shows, but we think this fixture could be too close to call in terms of a winner, and we're happy to be on the side of the draw for small stakes.
Troyes have drawn their last two matches - 1-1 away to A.J. Auxerre and 1-1 at home to Panetolikos FC, which tells you that they're capable of getting a result when they need to. However, Over 2.5 goals at 67/100 and Both Teams To Score - Yes at 11/20 are live bets that make appeal here, as Rosenior has been in charge since 7 July 2026 and his side have been a more attacking team recently.
Troyes are a well-drilled side that are compact and difficult to break down, as they're built on structure and disciplined transitions, while Paris FC have been looking to be more proactive since Rosenior took charge, with more pressing and quicker transitions. Alimami Gory has been a bright spark for Les Parisiens of late, scoring two of his team's four goals in their last five matches.
There's the distinct possibility that Paris FC's new-found attacking intent could see this game open up, but we're still leaning towards the away side edging a close encounter.
