- The draw is priced at 53/20, with St. Gallen the narrow favourites at 19/20 and Sheriff second favourites at 51/20.
- Sheriff have failed to score in their most recent home matches.
- St. Gallen have failed to win any of their last two away games, losing both.
Both teams can score in Moldova
FC Sheriff Tiraspol will be a tough nut for FC St. Gallen to crack on Thursday and the odds available for the Moldovan champions to cause an upset look attractive enough to have a play in the double chance market. St. Gallen are the favourites at 19/20, with Sheriff second at 51/20 and the draw third at 53/20.
The market makers have this one right in terms of which side is more likely to win, but the odds on both teams scoring look a better avenue of profit. The Swiss side, who play a more front-foot and aggressive system than their hosts, should certainly contribute to an open affair.
Sheriff have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five games, but they were well beaten 0-5 at home by Maccabi Tel-Aviv two starts ago and were held 0-0 by FC Milsami Orhei at the weekend before falling 0-1 to Maccabi Tel-Aviv in a second-leg defeat earlier today. But Victor Mihailov's men, in place since 1st June 2025, are an organised, compact and disciplined unit that is hard to break down.
St. Gallen have more at stake
St. Gallen have an edge over Sheriff in terms of overall recent form, having won six, drawn one and lost three of their last 10 in all competitions. Their latest results, with two wins and three defeats in their last five, are more mixed, but they also suffered a 5-0 away loss to SL Benfica. The Swiss Super League side beat FC Zurich 2-1 at home prior to that, but they were thrashed 5-0 by SL Benfica in the return leg a week later, and it was a result that summed up their boom-or-bust approach to this tournament. Maassen has got the team playing at a high tempo, pressing the opposition, attacking vertically and with a high frequency. A St. Gallen goal is likely when the action switches to Moldova, but their defence has been leaky on the road, conceding 2.20 goals per match, which is enough for Sheriff to get a goal on the counterattack. Jayder Asprilla, who has two of Sheriff's four goals in their last five, can finish the moves if they get them and can give the hosts a good chance of counterpunching their way to a result.
Sides set up for a classic press versus counter
Sheriff have won two, drawn two and lost one at home across all competitions, so they have been beatable in Tiraspol and St. Gallen can get the result they need here, but the hosts set up to play this style of game and they have enough quality to keep this close. The game should be open enough for Both Teams To Score to land and Over 2.5 goals, to be a decent bet as well.
