- FK Velež Mostar's recent form is mixed-to-strong with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches.
- FC Milsami Orhei's recent form is poor with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 fixtures.
Tight tactical battle expected in Bosnia and Herzegovina
FK Velež Mostar are the slight favourites for Thursday's UEFA Conference League 2026 qualification 1st Leg against FC Milsami Orhei at Stadion Rodeni, Bosnia and Herzegovina, where the home side are 107/100, away side are 217/100 and draw is 11/5. These prices have been taken into account in the selections and analysis below.
FK Velež Mostar have had an up and down season by their own standards, 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 in all competitions, but they have been in good form at home with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5. The Black and Whites will typically set up in a 4-2-3-1 system, which allows Ibrahim Rahimic's men to utilise a double pivot for structure, a free No.10 to pull strings and wide players who can rotate into the half-spaces.
Milsami's form has been poor by any standards, 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 in all competitions, which is a terrible run of fixtures for any European away trip. Alexei Savinov has been in charge of the club since 24 April 2026 and the team are clearly organised and well set up for the transition from defence to attack, although it appears that they're a little short in terms of quality and sharpness to finish off opponents.
Vasilije Djuric's sharpness could see Velež through
Milsami's away form is patchy with 1 win and 1 defeat from their last 2 away fixtures, but the fact they have conceded 15 in their last 6 trips away in all competitions is a big red flag for the visitors. Milsami have also gone 3 games with no goals with a 0-0 draw at FC Sheriff Tiraspol in Divizia Nationala 2025/2026, 0-0 draw with FC Zimbru Chisinau in Super Liga 2026/2027 and a 5-0 defeat away to CS Petrocub in Super Liga 2026/2027.
Velež have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 at home, averaging 1.60 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per game. Milsami Orhei have had a tough time in Europe, with their current run of results. The clash of two teams set up in a 4-2-3-1 variant should see Milsami sit in a disciplined medium block and wait to explode into the attack after turnovers.
Velež can win in a cagey game
Both Teams to Score - No at 73/100 is a top price and gives Velež a bit of a cushion to win the game if only by a single goal, which is the most likely outcome.
Vasilije Djuric has scored 2 of Velež's 6 goals in their last 5 games and looks to be the sharper on Thursday. Igor Souza has scored 2 of Milsami's 2 goals in the same timeframe and looks to be the best bet to get on the scoresheet if Milsami can nick one on the counter-attack.
