- Team form: FK Velež Mostar's form across all competitions is mixed-to-strong (W2, D2, L1).
- Opponents form: FC Milsami Orhei's form is poor (W1, D2, L2).
Velež have the edge in a likely close contest
This is a pretty tough call, as Velez are slight favorites at 2.07, Milsami are at 3.17 and the draw is at 3.2, but we'll take the hosts because their form and underlying numbers are just a little better, albeit not by a huge amount.
Ibrahim Rahimic has overseen a mixed-to-strong run of 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 games for Velez since he took over on 2 October 2025. Their form has been worse, particularly after Alexei Savinov took over as head coach on 24 April 2026.
Velež’s recent form
Velež have been involved in some tough matches against top sides in their domestic league recently and will probably still be feeling the effects of their 3-0 defeat away to HSK Zrinjski Mostar, which was one of the few times they have lost their defensive shape.
Their last three games have been a 1-1 draw away to NK Posusje, a 4-2 home victory over Rudar Prijedor and a 3-0 defeat to HSK Zrinjski Mostar in Mostar. Velež will fancy their chances of beating a team which is not as strong as Zrinjski, and they are unbeaten in 2 home games, which is a solid platform for any two-legged contest.
Milsami have been average
Recent matches
Milsami's last three matches have seen them produce two 0-0 draws and an extraordinary 5-0 defeat away to CS Petrocub. They played FC Sheriff away, FC Zimbru Chisinau at home and a strong Petrocub side away.
Key players
- Vasilije Djuric has been in fine form for Velež recently, scoring 2 of their 6 goals in the team's last 5 games, and Igor Souza is his equal for Milsami, scoring both of their 2 goals in the same period, so the goal markets don't excite us.
- Djuric will be sharper and a more reliable finisher in this one, which could easily be decided by the odd goal.
Tactics and outlook
Milsami are a 4-2-3-1 team which sits in a disciplined medium block, while Velež have the same formation, except their No.10 is a free-roaming player and the midfielders are more pivotal. This should be a cagey clash, with Velež pressing the ball and Milsami looking to nick one on the counterattack.
There's a low-scoring feel to this match and Under 2.5 goals at 1.56 and Both Teams to Score – No at 1.73 both make sense. However, the obvious selection here is for the home side to win in a low-scoring game, which could well be the case in a qualifier that should never really open up.
