- Cruz Azul have won three of the last five Liga MX head-to-heads (2 draws), but the most recent was a 2-2 draw in September 2025.
- Cruz Azul are the clear favourites to win, with Querétaro as 76/25 and the draw priced at 133/50.
- The odds-on price for the away team looks generous given Querétaro’s current unbeaten form.
Cruz Azul are clear favourites
Cruz Azul are priced as 81/100 clear favourites for Wednesday’s Liga MX 2025-2026 encounter away to Querétaro, with the home side coming in at 76/25 and the draw available at 133/50.
Cruz Azul’s head-to-head record against Querétaro has been strong, but their recent exit from the Concacaf Champions Cup at the hands of LAFC has left an impression and the squad depth issue is always present.
The bookies have this game as a two-horse race and there are some reasons to doubt that, especially as Querétaro are unbeaten in their last five in all competitions (2 wins, 3 draws), including two surprise wins over Toluca and Necaxa in the Clausura 2026.
But Cruz Azul’s overall form and status as a Liga MX top four side means they are rightful favourites to claim all three points, although Querétaro’s recent form suggests they will be a tough nut to crack.
Cruz Azul have a modern gameplan
Nicolás Larcamón’s side are a modern team in terms of the sophistication of their gameplan, which revolves around the players being compact and well-organised in each phase of the game, pressing in numbers and moving the ball quickly and vertically into the final third.
José Paradela is among the top scorers in the league and is always a threat to arrive late in the box, while Gabriel Fernández is a great runner and link-up player who also gets forward and presses high.
Cruz Azul will have too much quality for Querétaro to keep up with, but the hosts have a similar system and are led by another coach who recently worked in Chile, Esteban González.
González has added a strong layer of defensive solidity and resilience to the side since taking over in late 2025 following a title-winning stint in Chile. They have produced a string of low-scoring draws since and also surprised teams like Toluca and Necaxa with their ability to dig in and counter-attack after transitioning the ball.
Crucial midfield clash in store
Queretaro, who are currently in the lower half of the Liga MX Clausura 2026 table with 15 points from 14 games, face Cruz Azul, who sit near the top with 28 points. The match could be crucial to how their Liguilla seeding plays out.
Cruz Azul’s superior squad and firepower should see them take all three points, but at 18/25 the over 2.5 goals market looks a little steep for a match where Querétaro keep things very tight at the back.
A 2-0 or 2-1 victory seems a likely outcome, although a draw isn’t impossible if the visitors can’t capitalise on their opportunities. Meteo conditions at Estadio La Corregidora should be mild and dry in early April, providing good conditions for a fast-paced game under the lights.
Jhojan Julio is a key figure in Queretaro’s midfield, ranking among their top creators.
Mateo Coronel leads the team in goals this campaign and will be their main attacking focus, while Ali Ávila has also chipped in with key goals for his side this season.
Querétaro are likely to stay close to full strength, while the recent continental exit could affect Cruz Azul’s squad selection.
