- Grimsby Town have won three of their last five games, beating Gillingham 4-1 just two days ago.
- Swindon Town have won just one of their last five (D3, L1), and have failed to win their last two away from home.
- Grimsby Town have won 11, drawn five and lost six at home in League Two 2025-2026, with Swindon Town winning the same number on their travels.
Playoff contenders clash in a high-scoring thriller
Grimsby Town (8th, 71 points from 43 games) host Swindon Town (6th, 75 points from 44) on Saturday, in a tightly-poised contest for the League Two 2025-2026 play-off places.
David Artell has overseen the creation of a solid, structured and compact system at Grimsby Town since his appointment, which has seen them win 11 of 22 home games this season.
Artell has instilled a similar discipline to his teams, but with the ability to transition quickly and counter teams, allowing them to be very tough to break down.
Swindon, on the other hand, have been a high-tempo, aggressive pressing unit since Ian Holloway took charge of the Robins.
The result of this is a front-footed, wide, vertical and relentless style of football, which has led to them scoring 32 times in 22 away games in League Two 2025-2026, although Holloway’s side can be exposed by the counter-attack, and they’ve lost eight times on their travels in the fourth-tier.
Grimsby Town could just edge it
Swindon’s recent form has been indifferent, winning just one of their last five (D3, L1), while Grimsby Town have won three of their last five, so the hosts could nick this one.
The match odds for a Grimsby Town win are attractive at 22/25, while I’ll be going for over 2.5 goals at 71/100 and both teams to score at 31/50, as this will be a thriller of a game between two evenly matched, playoff-chasing sides.
Grimsby Town have averaged 1.68 goals per game at home in League Two 2025-2026, scoring 37 in 22 games, while Jaze Kabia has been their talisman, scoring 15 times in 43 League Two appearances.
Swindon have seen their star player Aaron Drinan add 21 goals in 38 games, while the Irishman has scored two of Swindon’s last six goals. The Robins were thumped 3-0 away at Colchester United last time out, so back Grimsby to get their revenge in this crucial League Two fixture.
The two sides have shared the spoils in the last head-to-head meeting at Swindon, a 2-2 draw, while the average scoreline across the last five encounters between these sides has been 1-2 to the visitors.
