- Hibernian have won one and lost three of their four home games in all competitions, averaging 1.0 goals per game.
- Motherwell have won two and lost three of their five away games in all competitions, scoring 1.00 per game and conceding 2.00 per game.
- Hibernian have averaged 1.30 goals scored per head-to-head game at home to Motherwell (last 5) and Motherwell have scored an average of one goal per away head-to-head.
Hibs’ dogged defensive shape vs Motherwell’s high-tempo ball recovery
The odds for Sunday's 2026-2027 Premiership clash at Easter Road Stadium are quite interesting in that Hibernian FC start at 31/25 with Motherwell next at 2/1 and the draw way down at 49/20, suggesting the bookies feel this should be a close game and they may be right.
David Gray took over as Hibernian's manager on 15 May 2024 and he's likely to employ a full-pelt, structured press that sets up compact lines and creates space for his team to burst into and exploit.
They beat Brondby I.F. 2-1 at home before losing 2-0 to FC Malisheva away in a run that has shown they have bite, but also vulnerability. Hibs' recent five-game form is W2, L3, while Motherwell have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten in all competitions so, again, this has all the ingredients of a tactical arm-wrestle.
Motherwell boss Alfred Johansson took charge on 1 July 2026 and he's unlikely to stray too far from the progressive, data-driven pressing and possession model that has served the club well.
They are a rotational side that use short passing, aggressive counter-pressing and quick regain-and-recycle to build momentum and dominate games. Motherwell's recent five-game form is also W2, L3 and, like Hibs, they've produced some encouraging displays, but also some shaky ones.
Back under 2.5 goals if it’s a cagey clash
Well lost 4-0 away to AGF Aarhus before following that up with a 4-3 home defeat to Racing Genk and a 2-0 home victory over HB Torshavn, so their momentum has swung like a pendulum of late.
Hibernian's most frequent shape is a back four and they mix up a narrow 4-4-2 with a diamond and 4-3-3 depending on whether they are looking to create wide overloads or quick counter-attacking opportunities. This could end up a real chess match between Hibs' selective, situational press and Well's high-tempo regain-and-recycle style.
Hibs have averaged 1.0 goals per home game this season with just four scored in their last four at the stadium. Motherwell have also scored at a rate of one per away game, but have shipped twice that number, so 1/1 looks a sharp odds for under 2.5 goals.
Both teams to score - yes, 13/20 and over 2.5 goals, 4/5 also look good bets here given Hibs average 1.3 goals scored and Motherwell concede 2.00 per away game.
