- Hibernian FC have won two and lost three of their last five Premiership - Championship Round 2026 matches, while Motherwell have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five.
- Hibernian FC have scored 1.78 goals per game at home in the Premiership - Championship Round 2026.
- Motherwell have scored 1.44 and conceded 1.28 goals per away game in the Premiership - Championship Round 2026.
David Gray’s Direct Hibs Can Outplay Askou’s Compact Steelmen
Four points separate 4th-placed Motherwell (58) and 5th-placed Hibernian FC (54) after 36 games of the Scottish Premiership - Championship Round 2026 campaign. Motherwell have won five, drawn seven and lost six of their 18 away games, while Hibs have won eight, drawn six and lost four of their 18 home games, so both will arrive at Easter Road ready for a close contest.
Motherwell have shown a knack for frustrating Hibs this season, with the Well winning one and drawing two of the last three head-to-head meetings, but they haven’t won on either of their most recent trips to the Scottish capital, so an away win is no certainty.
Jens Berthel Askou’s side like to play an asymmetric 4-2-2-2 system where they focus on keeping a compact shape, playing short passes and having a go when they can, although they can sometimes be caught out when they miss the pressing triggers. The Steelmen thrashed the table-topping Glasgow Rangers 3-2 away two weeks ago but then suffered a disappointing defeat at Falkirk and a draw with Hearts in the intervening period.
David Gray has instilled a front-foot, flexible style of play at Hibs since taking the reins in May 2024 that can best be described as a back-three system with wide wing-backs and inside forwards that creates a free-flowing style when they transition quickly from defence to attack. Hibs are just as likely to counter as they are to press, so Saturday’s clash of these two differing styles will be a chess match that could go either way.
Hibs’ Home Form Has Been Poor
Hibs have won just one and lost two of their last three home games in the league, so Motherwell’s current odds of 3/2 are slightly shorter than they should be. David Gray’s men are much better than their home form indicates, however, and they did bounce back well from their 1-2 defeat to Celtic with an authoritative 3-1 away win at Falkirk two days ago.
Josh Campbell has been Hibs’ most dangerous player of late, with two goals in his last three Premiership - Championship Round 2026 games, while Emmanuel Longelo is in blistering form for Motherwell, with three of his side’s six goals across their last five coming from his foot.
With both clubs in mixed form, but desperate for the crucial points on offer in this second half of the season as they chase European football, we’re backing a home win in the draw no bet market for the hosts at a massive 31/20, with the draw coming in at 49/20. We’re also backing both teams to score as Motherwell will be eager to make a mark on the game and Hibs have been scoring freely at home, but both defences have shown some frailties in recent weeks.
