- Kerry have the better home record in the First Division 2026 with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats after 10 games played.
- Kerry have conceded only 9 goals in 10 games at Mounthawk so far this season.
- Kerry are unbeaten in their last 3 home games against Longford Town.
Kerry are more likely winners against a well-organised Longford
Kerry boss Colin Healy has his team playing a flexible, possession-based game that uses width and quick transitions, while Longford Town boss Gary Cronin keeps his men compact and pragmatic in a 4-2-3-1 system. This looks like a classic battle of width vs structure, and the wings may decide which team lands the bigger blow on Friday.
Kerry are the better team in the best form, having won three, drawn one and lost one in their last five and arriving on the back of a two-game winning streak. Longford Town have won two, drawn one and lost two in the same period, so the visitors don't have the momentum to get a result on their own terms.
Kerry FC are 8th in the table on 22 points from 20 games, while Longford Town are 6th on 25 points so this game is a mid-table battle. The hosts have the home record advantage and are unbeaten in their last 3 matches against Town, which gives them an edge in this match-up.
Town’s away form is patchy, but they can be dangerous
Longford's away record in the First Division 2026 is 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10 games played, so Town are not great travellers. After beating Cobh Ramblers 2-1 at home, Longford lost 0-2 away in their most recent away game, which shows that they are still vulnerable on the road. The hosts are 119/100 favourites for the match against 203/100 for Longford Town, which is very tight given the difference in away and home records and the current form of the teams. The Draw at 11/5, however, is too big, so we are supporting the home side to prevail in what should be a close and cagey affair. Longford can be a threat on set-pieces and their away stats this season show they are a very compact and compact team that can make life tough for their opponents.
Both teams lack finishers and that should keep this close
Longford score an average of only 0.90 goals per away game in the First Division 2026 and they concede 1.60 on their travels, which should see this become a grind rather than a free-flowing game. We are having a home win, as Kerry have an important goalscorer in Ryan Kelliher, who has two of the club's six goals in their last 5 games.
Under 2.5 goals at 33/50 and Both Teams To Score No at 43/50 fit the script for a cagey home win, which should be the case in this mid-table scrap.
