- Kerry FC have failed to win either of their last two away H2H encounters in the First Division 2026.
- Wexford FC have conceded just 13 goals in 11 First Division 2026 home games (1.18 per game).
- Kerry have conceded an average of 1.55 goals per away First Division 2026 game.
Wexford FC are the slight favourites, but this is a tricky one
With 27 points from 22 games, Wexford FC sit 6th in the First Division 2026 table, two points above 7th-placed Kerry FC on 25, so this game isn't a throwaway match by any means.
Kerry have looked dangerous in their last five games with three wins and two defeats, while Wexford are in poor form with zero wins, two draws and three defeats over their same number of matches.
Kerry have beaten UCD 1-0 away from home and Longford Town 2-1 at home but they have lost 2-1 at Treaty United, so they can sting teams on their day.
Kerry’s away record is better than Wexford’s home one
Kerry FC's overall away record in the First Division 2026 is one win, three draws and seven defeats from 11 trips, so they will still be hard to trust.
Colin Healy's side are organised in a 5-3-2/3-5-2 shape that has been fairly disciplined in recent weeks with the wing-backs providing the width and two up top ready to break at pace. Cian Murphy has provided their sharpest edge with two goals in five games.
Wexford have been stingy at home, conceding just 13 times in 11 matches in the First Division 2026 at an average of 1.18 per game, but they've failed to get a win in their last two at the Wexford Regional Sports Centre, with one draw and one defeat.
Kierans have been solid, but can be unlocked
Ian Ryan's side are constructed to be a compact unit, sitting back until they can spring into life with quick transitions. But Kerry have players who can run at them and have a directness about them, so this looks like a classic winger-vs-wing-back chess match, with Wexford's wide attackers trying to drag Kerry's compact block out of shape. Wexford are the 43/50 favourites, with Kerry at 71/25 and the draw at 58/25. I think the hosts should have the edge at home, but I am going to take the draw in this instance due to Kerry's recent results and the even head-to-head record between these two in the First Division 2026. Under 2.5 goals is 39/50 and Both Teams To Score - Yes is 39/50 and I am leaning towards a cagey, tight match with both markets looking interesting. Kerry's attack has leaned on Murphy's finishing ability and if he gets the service he could nick this, but I can't see a wide margin and Wexford have to be expected to shade it or grind out a draw at the very least.
