- Kerry FC have the form coming into this game with three wins, a draw and a defeat in their last five games, whereas Treaty United FC have winless in their last five, with two draws and three defeats.
- The last three First Division 2026 meetings between these sides have ended all square, with the most recent one finishing 1-1 in Kerry.
Tight contest anticipated in Munster derby
Kerry FC will attempt to prolong their winning run against their West Munster rivals Treaty United FC on Friday. The away side come into this fixture on the back of three straight victories, while the hosts have managed zero wins, two draws and three defeats in their previous five.
The Treaty are the favourites for this clash at 141/100, but Kerry, who come into this one at 171/100, have the momentum and are definitely worth a small stakes bet at those odds, especially with the draw priced at 103/50.
The home side have been under Tommy Barrett since February 2021 and are one of the few with a long-established structure, so it's hard to see them completely losing the plot even though their recent results suggest they have.
Treaty's recent form is poor and the 4-0 away defeat to Cork City followed by a 0-0 away draw to Wexford FC tells a clear story of a team that is not at it's best right now.
The last two games have seen a slight recovery with a 1-0 away win to UCD and a 2-1 home win over Longford Town, but this will be a much tougher test. Kerry sit 6th in the First Division 2026 on 25 points from 21 games, while Treaty are 10th with 17 points from 21.
The Treaty play a 4-2-3-1 formation and will usually start with the ball at the back, but they mix patient possession play with direct balls, long throws and set-piece pressure.
Kerry will look to overload the flanks and keep it tight and compact, hitting the Treaty in transition, so this could be a typical midfield grind. The home team may have the advantage in terms of structure and cohesion, but the recent form is for Kerry to extend its run of form.
Treaty United FC have netted and conceded an average of 1.10 per-game on their own patch in the First Division 2026, while Kerry FC have conceded 15 at a rate of 1.50 per game.
With all this in mind, Under 2.5 goals at 17/25 looks good, but both teams to score - No at 89/100 suits the recent feel of this derby, which has been very even and cagey over the past couple of years.
Treaty United FC have failed to win either of their previous two home games against Kerry FC and that is why we are avoiding the head-to-head bet this week, even though we fancy an away win.
Matthew Britton has chipped in with two of Kerry FC's six goals in their recent five games, so he looks a live chance on a tight and cagey Friday night.
