- Kilmarnock are unbeaten in 3 at home (W2, D1) including a 3-0 win over Dundee United FC in April.
- Dundee FC have won just 2 of their 18 Premiership Relegation Round away fixtures (D5, L11), averaging 1.67 goals conceded per match.
- Both teams have had mixed form in recent weeks, with Kilmarnock (W2, D1, L2) faring better than Dundee FC (W1, D1, L3).
Kilmarnock or Killie, as some call them, are the value
Kilmarnock sit 4th in the Premiership Relegation Round after 35 games, with 31 points, while Dundee FC are 3rd on 36 points from 35. There’s a slight edge of form in Kilmarnock’s favour for this clash with 2 wins from the last 5 matches (W2, D1, L2) to Dundee FC’s 1 (W1, D1, L3). Both Neil McCann’s Kilmarnock and Steven Pressley’s Dundee FC employ contrasting tactical approaches, so this clash should be a true battle of philosophies. Killie are an organisation-first side who look to control the pace of the game, frustrate their opponents and get men behind the ball at all times. They’re a compact, patient and solid team, but lack a little in terms of quality and creativity. Pressley has moulded his men into a direct, physical side who are disciplined and possess some aerial threats. They are a well-balanced unit who carve out their chances through set pieces and quick transitions, as well as making the most of their opportunities.
Joe Westley is Dundee FC’s top scorer in the Relegation Round
Joe Hugill has been the driving force behind Killie’s results, scoring 3 of his side’s 7 goals across the last 5. Findlay Curtis has been their main outlet in the Relegation Round, but has only managed 1 goal from 2 appearances.
Joe Westley is Dundee FC’s leading scorer in the Relegation Round, but his return of 1 goal in 2 appearances is hardly the best record. The driving force for this Dundee side is undoubtedly Simon Murray, who has been their chief creative outlet, scoring 2 of his team’s 4 goals in the last 5 games.
Kilmarnock should edge this one
Kilmarnock are the favourites here, at 29/25, with Dundee FC priced at 53/25 and the draw at 49/20. Given the home side’s form, Dundee’s away troubles and the odds on offer, we think Kilmarnock are the top value selection to edge a tight contest on Tuesday.
A draw or under 2.5 goals could also be a lucrative option here, given the nature of both sides and their recent low-scoring results. Kilmarnock have conceded 1.50 goals per match at Rugby Park (W6, D4, L8) and Dundee FC, who have failed to win any of their last 3 away matches (D1, L2), are conceding 1.67 per game on their travels.
Both teams will be desperate to get another 3 points on the board and remain in the premier league, so we can expect a higher level of intensity and more tactical discipline from both sides. The result could be a low-scoring, tight affair that is decided by who can capitalise on set-piece opportunities and second-ball situations. The 2-2 draw that these sides played out when they last met at Rugby Park is an accurate measure of the fine margins between the sides.
