- Leiston’s home record in the Southern League Premier Division Central 2025-2026 season (19 home matches, L3) is superior to Bury’s overall record this term (51 points from 38 games).
- The hosts are unbeaten in three at home (W2, D1) and Bury have failed to win their last two away from home (D1, L1).
- Bury’s shape-first approach will be tested by Leiston’s wide players and advanced fullbacks on Monday.
Leiston to win at 21/20 - ★★☆
The odds for this game suggest a mid-table local derby on Monday could be close, but Leiston will like their chances of gaining the advantage against a Bury Town side that have picked up only one point from their last two away matches (D1, L1).
Leiston have been as steady as they are unspectacular of late, recording two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five league games. That run began with a 1-0 home win over Banbury United and also included a 4-1 defeat at Redditch United, and they currently sit 10th in the Southern League Premier Division Central table with 55 points from 37 games.
Bury Town are three points and three places behind them in 13th with 51 points from 38 matches, so this mid-table clash really is a game of two clubs going along nicely in their respective ways.
Sides may differ, but Bury will be difficult to break down
But whereas Leiston manager Chris Wigger has built his side on the back of a pro-active, possession-based approach, where his wingers and full backs get forward and stretch the opposition, Bury manager Cole Skuse’s men are a shape-first side that will look to frustrate the hosts and hurt them on the counter.
Bury’s away record in the Southern League Premier Division Central of W6, D5, L8, and an average of 1.58 goals conceded on the road, would suggest this is a match they could lose if Leiston are at their best. But the Shakers’ form coming into this one is also mediocre, with one win, three draws and one defeat from their last five.
The most recent meeting between the clubs in the league finished 1-1 at Bury Town eight weeks ago, and with neither side really showing much recently to suggest a clear win, we’re going for the draw at 129/50 here.
Local bragging rights and cup pride could spice things up
Bury Town have drawn their last two games, 2-2 away at Harborough Town and 1-1 at home to Worcester, and won’t be easy to break down on Monday. However, Leiston’s better home form and more attacking play will give them the edge in this fixture.
Backing Bury Town to get a result looks tempting at 199/100, but we’re supporting the home side to prevail at odds-against because they have a real goal threat and the visiting side is a little stale right now. Over 2.5 goals at 69/100 is also a fair shout, given the local bragging rights and recent cup history between these clubs should make this a fiercely contested affair.
Adam Mills has scored two of Leiston’s last four league goals, so the striker will be the main goal threat again here.