- Nashville SC have won four of their five home games in MLS 2026, drawing the other (4 wins, 1 draw).
- New York City FC have conceded an average of 1.25 goals per game on the road in MLS 2026.
- Nashville SC average 3.60 goals per home game scored and 1.20 conceded in MLS 2026.
Home advantage on the line in Nashville
Nashville SC will host New York City FC in MLS 2026 this Sunday, and home advantage could prove the difference between the sides in what is likely to be an entertaining match. In the last three MLS head-to-head meetings between these sides, New York City FC have won two, Nashville SC have not managed to win once, and one draw was played out. NYCFC ran out 2-1 winners when these sides last met at home in MLS 2025, but they are winless in their last two visits to Nashville.
Nashville SC have begun their MLS 2026 campaign in impressive fashion, and currently sit third in the standings after picking up 24 points from their first 11 matches. BJ Callaghan’s pragmatic, but ultimately impressive tactics have brought a new found defensive discipline to the club since taking the helm in July 2024. He has also given his Nashville side a license to be free and attacking when they get the ball in wide areas, and that has certainly contributed to their overall success.
New York City FC will arrive in Tennessee this weekend looking to cause Nashville some problems, and will arrive in good form themselves after winning three, drawing once and losing once in their last five MLS matches. 16th-placed NYCFC have collected 15 points from their 12 MLS 2026 matches, which represents a significantly tougher start to the season than their hosts have experienced.
Nashville SC to edge an exciting match
Pascal Jansen’s men are more of a possession-based, high-pressing side than Nashville, and favour a more energetic style of play. NYCFC can hurt Nashville in behind and have the quality to do so.
Nashville have won their last two matches, beating New England Revolution 3-0 on the road and Los Angeles FC 3-2 at home, while NYCFC are unbeaten in their last three away matches (W2, D1). With both sides in good form and plenty of attacking options, we’re expecting both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in this match, and Nashville to just edge it. Sam Surridge (9 goals, 7 appearances in MLS 2026) is Nashville’s top marksman, while Nicolas Fernandez (8 goals, 12 appearances) is New York City’s best performer.
