- Newport County FC are averaging 0.95 goals per home game in League Two in 2025-26.
- Crawley Town are averaging 0.60 goals per away game in League Two in 2025-26, conceding 1.70.
- Newport County has failed to win their last two home games against Crawley Town.
Tight tussle likely in relegation clash
Newport County and Crawley Town head into this fixture level on 34 points from 40 games, 22nd and 21st in League Two respectively, and both clubs need to take three points from somewhere to avoid relegation in the bottom tier of the Football League.
The Exiles have been more volatile in the last 5 games (W2, L3), while Crawley have been a little steadier (W1, D3, L1).
In Christian Fuchs’ first season at the helm of Newport, he has brought a clear structure and style to County, emphasising a defence-first approach with compact lines, a focus on set-piece deliveries and quick transitions. He has had plenty of time to get his message across after taking charge in November 2025 and, despite some good performances, the results just haven’t been there.
Bobby Kamwa has given them a little bit of spark in the final third lately, scoring two of County’s five goals in the last 5 matches, but with Michael Spellman their leading goalscorer in League Two with just five in 31 appearances, it’s no surprise they are struggling to stay afloat.
Colin Kazim-Richards has only been at the helm of Crawley for a few weeks since his appointment as head coach in late March 2026, but there is some evidence to suggest he may have changed the Red Devils style to a more vertical game than the one that was favoured by his predecessor. Although they usually play a possession game with wing-backs to create overloads in midfield, expect a slightly more direct style from the visitors.
Draw on the cards
This tactical battle should keep the game close and cagey with neither side creating too many clear-cut opportunities to score goals. Newport have won one of the last three meetings between the two clubs, with Crawley taking two victories in that spell.
Crawley have failed to win either of their last two away games in League Two (D1, L1) and have a worse overall away record in 2025-26 than County’s home record (W4, D4, L12). In Harry McKirdy, who has six goals in 28 League Two appearances, the Red Devils have a better overall goalscoring threat than County, but it’s likely not enough to beat the Exiles.
Given both sides' lack of cutting edge in the attacking third and the defensive focus of Newport's head coach, our selection is for a draw in this fixture, but a 0-0 correct score seems the more likely outcome based on both sides’ average goals for and against.
