- Notts County have won 11, drawn three and lost four of their 18 home league games in League Two 2025/2026, scoring an average of 1.83 goals per game and conceding an average of 0.89 per game.
- Chesterfield have won six, drawn seven and lost five of their 18 away league games in League Two 2025/2026, scoring an average of 1.39 and conceding an average of 1.56.
- The last five head-to-head meetings have been shared evenly between the two teams, with Chesterfield winning the most recent fixture 2-0 at home in League Two 2025/2026.
A derby with plenty of local pride at stake
Notts County currently sit fourth in League Two with 64 points from their 35 games so far, and they have been one of the most consistent sides in the division this season. County boss Martin Paterson has introduced a greater tempo to his side since taking over in June 2025, and his side have been particularly solid defensively, especially at home, where they have won 11, drawn three and lost only four of their 18 matches in the 2025/2026 campaign.
County’s home record has been key to their success, as they have won 11 of their 18 league matches in League Two 2025/2026, averaging 1.83 goals per game scored and 0.89 per game conceded. The Magpies have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five games, but they did claim a vital 2-1 victory at Walsall last time out. Jodi Jones has been in good form, scoring three of County’s last seven goals in their last five matches.
Chesterfield currently sit eighth in the table, with 56 points from their first 36 games. Paul Cook has done well to build a team which combines possession football with the ability to play on the counter attack since taking over in 2022, and his 4-2-3-1 system can morph into a 3-2-5 when in the attacking third, as it did in their 3-0 win over Colchester United. Chesterfield have also won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, and they have also won six, drawn seven and lost five of their 18 games on the road in League Two 2025/2026, finding the net 1.39 times per match on average and allowing an average of 1.56 in the process.
Magpies can pip the Spireites
The last three head-to-head games have all been tightly contested affairs, with Chesterfield coming out on top on the most recent occasion, a 2-0 home win in League Two 2025/2026. Notts County are the favourites here, and with odds of 27/25, they look good to hold that edge.
However, both teams will be keen to prove their worth in this East Midlands derby, and Chesterfield can definitely contribute to this one. Matthew Dennis has been in fine form this season, scoring 14 times in 34 League Two games, and is a bigger threat in Notts County's 3-4-2-1 or 3-5-2 than his counterpart, Lee Bonis, who has scored eight times in 35 league appearances for the Spireites. Expect a fascinating tactical battle, with Paterson’s possession-based 3-4-2-1 or 3-5-2 system pitted against Cook’s more direct, counter-attacking approach.
I’m confident that both teams will find the net on Saturday, and I’m going for a ‘Both Teams to Score - Yes’ prediction at 18/25. Notts County haven’t won their last home game against Chesterfield and are more likely to win here than they were then, so I’m backing the home side to come out on top.
