- Plymouth Argyle have won four of their last five games in all competitions (L1).
- AFC Wimbledon have won two of their last five (D2, L1).
Plymouth Pilgrims are priced up at 51/100
Plymouth Argyle FC look too short in the betting at 51/100 to beat AFC Wimbledon in League One 2026-2027 on Saturday and we feel it might be wiser to take the visitors at 24/5 or the draw at 16/5 at Home Park.
The Pilgrims have been in fine form overall, winning four of their last five in all competitions (W1, L1), but they enter this encounter off the back of a 5-1 EFL Trophy smash-and-grab against Crystal Palace U21 and a 1-0 home defeat to Burton Albion in League One 2026/2027.
The Dons have been less consistent of late, with two wins, two draws and a defeat from their last five, but they are unbeaten in their last three (W1, D2) after seeing off Doncaster Rovers 1-0, drawing 0-0 with MK Dons and coming from behind to salvage a point away at Cambridge United in their most recent away match.
The Dons are good value for a double chance
Plymouth are one point better off than Wimbledon (4th v 8th) in the table after eight matches and have had the edge in the H2H. The last meeting finished 3-1 to Plymouth away from home in League One 2025/2026 and that should give the hosts a mental edge on Saturday, although the Dons have improved considerably over the past year.
Tom Cleverley's side have been in an attacking mood in 2026-2027, with a 4-4-2 formation allowing them to play through the middle or in behind teams when the ball is in the wide areas. They can dominate the ball in patches, but they are also a team to watch on the counter when they can press high up the field.
Johnnie Jackson's men play a system, with a three-at-the-back shape, wing-backs providing width and an emphasis on quick transitions. Aribim Pepple is the main goal threat for the hosts with three goals in eight League One 2026/2027 matches, while James Tilley has two assists in five appearances for the Dons.
Opposing goals could be the play
Backing over 2.5 goals at 31/50 is tempting as the attacking angles should be lively, but both teams to score at 67/100 looks a better fit as we feel Plymouth are more likely to take the points at home than the visitors.
That's because, despite their recent improvement, Wimbledon are still a work in progress and Plymouth have more experience at this level. They should have enough bite to punish the Dons, but Wimbledon have been stubborn enough to suggest this could be tight.
