- Portugal are unbeaten in their last four games in all competitions, winning three.
- Spain are unbeaten in their last 10 in all competitions, winning four of the last five.
Iberian rivals face off at Dallas Stadium
Portugal and Spain both showed their pedigree in their first two FIFA World Cup 2026 knockout stage games, with the Portuguese edging Croatia 2-1 before Spain dispatched Austria 3-0, so both sides have proven their mettle.
Spain are the more likely winner here at 23/25, but Portugal are a decent price at 31/10 while the 13/5 draw looks a little short. It should be a cagey game, so both teams to score at almost level looks a bit rich.
These two Iberian giants could be evenly poised for a while before one makes a big moment to push for the lead. Portugal's five-game form of 3 wins and 2 draws is good, but Spain have a better record of 4 wins and 1 draw in their most recent five outings and they come into the game on a winning streak.
Ronaldo and Oyarzabal the danger men
Spain are the most likely winner because of their consistency and the way they have been ruthless across all competitions in 2026, going unbeaten in their last three with three wins and eight goals scored.
Portugal should be a tough nut to crack as they have been throughout this tournament. Roberto Martinez has been astute in employing a flexible system that has played with either a back three or a back four while having enough numbers in wide areas to put their opponents under pressure.
Spain will press high, they control the tempo of the game and they have enough quality in possession to put Portugal under pressure when they build up play. That should make for an intriguing chess match at Dallas Stadium, USA where the winner will take all. Cristiano Ronaldo will be the headline finisher, but he has three goals in Portugal's last five matches.
Spain have the consistency to get the win
Mikel Oyarzabal has been on a tear for Spain, scoring five of his country's ten goals in their last five matches, so he looks a better bet for an anytime goal than Ronaldo. Portugal won the last meeting between these nations 7-5 in the 2024/25 UEFA Nations League, but Spain look better equipped to edge a close one at Dallas Stadium on Monday.
