- RB Leipzig have won 1 of 1 home matches in Bundesliga 2026/2027, conceding 0 goals.
- Hamburger SV have played 1 away game in Bundesliga 2026/2027, scoring 0.00 goals and conceding 2.00.
- RB Leipzig have won the last 2 competitive meetings between the 2 clubs, including a 2-1 win away from home in Bundesliga 2025/2026.
Leipzig looking to bounce back
RB Leipzig have struggled for consistency in the early stages of Bundesliga 2026/2027, but they are coming off a 3-1 loss away to Werder Bremen and will be looking to return to the winning ways at home, where they are yet to concede a goal.
Martin Demichelis has overseen structured build-up and counter-pressing from his Leipzig side since being appointed head coach on 1 July 2026, but the results have been mixed (W2, L3). However, a 3-0 win at home to Borussia Monchengladbach is proof of the ceiling of these Leipzig teams, who look to control possession, but really turn up the pressure when they lose the ball.
Die Roten Bullen have been a great team for both goals and assists so far, with Ridle Baku (2 Bundesliga 2026/2027 goals) and Tidiam Gomis providing the best end-product (2 Bundesliga 2026/2027 assists). RB Leipzig will be out to dominate this game and pin HSV deep, where they will be able to put their fast vertical play to work.
HSV’s honeymoon phase may be over
Die Rothosen have also been involved in some exciting football under Merlin Polzin, who took over the club on 25 November 2024 and has built a team around a disciplined and compact back three, as well as some measured wing-backs.
They are certainly the more reserved of the 2 sides, which could be their undoing if the tempo is set by Leipzig.
HSV have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, but back-to-back defeats, starting with a 2-0 defeat away to Borussia Dortmund, but followed by a 0-5 defeat at home to Mainz, have burst the bubble.
Leipzig to take advantage of early jitters
RB Leipzig enter this game as the clear favourites at 41/100, while HSV are 11/2 and the draw is 39/10. This is a home result if ever we saw one, so we're going with that, although the odds aren't much to write home about.
Both teams to score looks like a viable play at 3/5, but HSV are yet to score a single goal on the road and we fancy Leipzig to control this match and not concede.
Over 2.5 goals at 11/25 is a solid alternative to the win bet, with Leipzig's attacking prowess and HSV's defensive struggles suiting this market best. HSV's Patson Daka has scored 2 of their 6 goals across the last 5 matches, so he's their best sharpest shooter.
