- Real Sociedad's 5 home games in LaLiga 2026/2027 have averaged 1.40 goals per game.
- Rayo have won 2 and drawn 2 of their last 5 matches in all competitions, while Real Sociedad have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 in their last 5.
Rayo ready to rock at Reale Arena
Real Sociedad have hit a few blips lately and Rayo Vallecano have found some momentum, so it would not be a shock if Franjirrojos snagged a surprise result in the Basque Country this Sunday. The hosts sit fifth in the LaLiga 2026/2027 table with 19 points from 11 games and the visitors occupy 12th place with 12 points from 10 contests.
Pellegrino Matarazzo's men have been in mixed-but-live form of late with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five contests in all competitions. They fell to a 2-1 away defeat to Athletic Bilbao in the previous round of LaLiga 2026/2027 games before getting caught out at home by Lyon in a 1-1 draw in the Europa League.
Rayo have won their last two contests with a bit of swagger, seeing off Celta de Vigo 3-0 in the last round of the league and edging Recreativo Huelva 3-2 after extra-time in the Copa del Rey. Beñat San José's men like to press high up the pitch when they have the ball and will deploy a high-tempo 4-2-3-1 system on Sunday, which can open the game up if they don't get their pressing trap on.
De Frutos can dent the hosts
Sociedad also like to play on the front foot and will switch between 4-4-2 and 4-2-3-1 systems, pushing men forward with a high press. Luka Sucic, with three goals in seven games, is Txuri-urdin's leading goalscorer in 2026/2027 and they have some bite in midfield to go with some quality in the offensive third.
Mikel Oyarzabal has three assists in their last five games across all competitions and his movement between the lines can be a real problem for opponents. Rayo have a reliable goalscorer in Sergio Camello, who has seven goals in as many games in 2026/2027, while Jorge de Frutos can add some thrust from the wings with two in the last five matches.
Rayo average 1.20 goals per away game in LaLiga 2026/2027 and concede 2.60, which is a worry. Real Sociedad score an average of 1.40 per home game, which should be enough to keep them in the game. This will be a chess match between two teams that know each other well as Rayo have won two of their last three trips to play Sociedad across all current competitions, including a 3-3 draw in the corresponding fixture.
It's very evenly poised but the away win is the value selection at 17/5 with Rayo looking good enough to rattle Sociedad and snag a result if they stay compact and finish their counters. The head-to-head looks good and the last game finished 3-3, but a 2-1 away win suits the numbers and the recent pattern of Rayo's results.
