- Sheffield Wednesday's Jamal Lowe is Wednesday's leading scorer with 4 goals in 7 games.
- Plymouth's Aribim Pepple tops the Pilgrims' scoring charts in League One 2026/2027 with 3 goals in 8 matches.
- Sheffield Wednesday have won the last 2 meetings, including a 3-0 away win over Plymouth in Championship 2024/2025.
Owls and Pilgrims face off in League One 2026/2027
The 5th-placed Pilgrims arrive with a much sharper league position than 9th-placed Wednesday (23 points from 14 games vs 20 points from 13) and will have freshened up nicely after last weekend's 4-0 FA Cup win over Alvechurch.
However, it is the Owls who have the head-to-head advantage and home advantage for this one, so we're going to take the value in the hosts for an upset with a bit of a flutter on the goals markets.
Dave Challinor has given Sheffield Wednesday a bit of an edge since taking charge on 2 November 2026, when his planned 3-4-2-1 system was based around passing at pace, being aggressive without the ball and making the most of the wide areas.
Davis Keillor-Dunn, who has scored 3 goals in the last 5 games, is the key to this system, adding a sharpness that has seen the Owls score 7 times in that run, but they are still on a run of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats.
Tom Cleverley has instilled a similar flexibility upon Plymouth since taking over on 13 June 2025, with his teams pressing, winning duels and thriving from set pieces in either a 4-4-2 or 3-4-3 system.
This game looks set to be a high-tempo chess match with Wednesday's wide areas likely to be where Plymouth will be tested, so the spaces behind the Pilgrims' advanced wing-backs could be key.
Plymouth have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 2 of 7 away fixtures in League One 2026/2027, so they have bite, but they have also conceded 12 times - enough to allow Wednesday to get on the front foot if they make a fast start.
The odds seem a little bit wrong with Plymouth around 87/50 favourites to win and Wednesday around 32/25, so we're happy to take the hosts at that price as they are the team with the head-to-head edge.
Over 2.5 goals at 11/20 and both teams to score at 9/20 look tempting too, but we're taking the game to be very close and momentum-sensitive, so those odds don't leave much room for error.
The likes of Plymouth's Will Evans (2 of their last 6 goals) and Wednesday's Lowe (4 in 7 games) will be key to how this game plays out and both are capable of scoring. So we're sticking with the home edge and H2H advantage to play out on Saturday.
