- Benfica have 8 wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Vitória de Guimarães have one win, three draws and six defeats from their last 10 in all competitions.
- Benfica have won their last three matches against Vitória de Guimarães, most recently a 3-0 home win in the Primeira Liga 2025/2026.
Benfica have a good game in hand
Benfica play at Estadio da Luz on Sunday to face off against Vitoria Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga, where they are priced at 29/100, and the visitors are 8/1 while the draw is 21/5.
In the past six months, Benfica have won 3-0 at home, lost at Porto 3-1 and beaten AC Milan 2-0 away. They've won eight of their last 10 games in all competitions and have lost just once, so it's no surprise they're favourites here.
Vitoria have been poor since the start of the 2026/2027 campaign. They have only one win from their 10-game form (D3, L6) and travel to the Luz for this game off the back of a 0-0 draw at home with Casa Pia, a 2-1 loss away to Académico Viseu and a 1-1 draw at home with Moreirense. Their results and performances have been completely inconsistent.
Silva has a team that can control the game
Marco Silva has got Benfica playing a fluid 4-3-3 system which can be converted into a 4-2-3-1 at the drop of a hat. They have possession, rotations and high-tempo counter-pressing and they have the ability to lock down a game by counter-pressing as well as creating in the final third, so this is a real test of Vitória's resilience.
Tiago Margarido has his Vitória side set up to press relentlessly and they can play multiple formations too, but there is a possibility that they leave space behind their first wave and can be exposed. Benfica are a strong side who can overwhelm teams and they will be keen to put their opponent on the back foot.
Hosts have a strong bite
A Benfica win is the smart pick in this matchup and the odds suggest this is not a game that's a toss up, rather it should be a fairly one-sided affair. Over 2.5 goals at 1/2 looks good too, considering Benfica's goalscoring prowess and their record of scoring eight goals in their last three home games. Both teams to score is also good at 4/5.
As a value add, Benfica have won their last three home games in all competitions while Vitoria have drawn one and lost four of their last five away games, so home advantage is a factor and we're rolling with that.
