- Venezia are clear favourites at 12/25 in the head-to-head market, with Modena some 21/4 and the draw 16/5.
- SSC Venezia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches, whereas Modena have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their previous 10.
- Venezia have won 4 and conceded just twice in the four home fixtures they have played across all competitions this season (W4, D0, L0).
Venetians are clearest route to Coppa Italia success
This is a game of contrast in styles as possession-focused 3-5-2 Venezia, who are patient and structured, face off against Modena's high-intensity pressing game which is designed to win the ball back high up the pitch and then attack at pace.
Giovanni Stroppa has led his team well since he took the helm on 1st July 2025 and Venezia have made home sweet home this season. They have yet to drop a single point on their own turf in any competition, winning all four of their matches and conceding just twice in the process.
The arancioneroverdi do tend to get a bit carried away with themselves at times, however, with their last two outings ending in a 4-3 defeat at AS St. Etienne and a 2-2 draw at Stade Brestois. But the hosts should have enough to win this cup tie against a Modena team who are enduring a run of three successive defeats.
Canarini have a recent scalp to aim for
Modena's last two matches have both ended 1-0 against them, at home to Juve Stabia and away to Cagliari. Daniele Galloppa has done a reasonable job since he stepped up on 13th June 2026, but the visitors need to string some results together in Serie B to ease their relegation fears.
The last meeting went Modena's way, a 2-0 away victory in Serie B 2025/2026, but the overall head-to-head record over the last 5 meetings is 3-1 in favour of Venezia, with 1 draw. The arancioneroverdi have averaged 2.3 goals per game at home against Modena in that period, while the canarini have averaged 1.3 as the travelling team.
The formbook is firmly on the side of Venezia, who have won 6, drawn 3 and lost just 1 of their 10 competitive fixtures across all competitions, so we'll back them to edge this encounter at a shade of odds-on. Modena could make a game of it though, as their pressing style could keep the fixture tighter than the market currently suggests, so we're going to add over 2.5 goals to our selection at 4/5.
