- Tottenham are unbeaten in their last ten matches in all competitions (W5, D4, L1).
- Newcastle have won just one of their last five (W1, L4).
- Spurs have drawn three consecutive games, including back-to-back 2-2 home stalemates with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
Spurs have the staying power to overcome the Magpies
Two very different football teams clash at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday when Newcastle make the long trip down to North London to take on Spurs.
Roberto De Zerbi's side are all about possession, positional play and the vertical ball into the half-spaces while Matthias Jaissle's Magpies like to get men behind the ball, press high and chase turnovers.
The clash of styles could lead to an intriguing chess match where Spurs will be desperate for control, but Newcastle will be looking to disrupt and run at the home side.
A couple of factors sway the scales towards the hosts in this contest: the home advantage and form. Tottenham are the slight favourites at 1/1 with the visitors 23/10 and the draw 27/10.
Form book not to be trusted for this clash
Spurs are unbeaten in ten across all competitions (W5, D4, L1), but they have drawn their last three consecutive matches, including back-to-back 2-2 draws at home against Hoffenheim.
Newcastle, on the other hand, are on a three-match losing run after a 1-2 defeat at home to Bayer 04 Leverkusen, followed by a penalty shootout defeat to Racing Club Strasbourg.
The form book is not a reliable indicator for this game because the teams are so different from one another and, despite Newcastle's poor form, we cannot ignore the fact that they have had the better of the recent H2H meetings with two wins and a draw from the last three.
Home advantage has value
But Tottenham have the greater momentum and are a more settled unit, so the odds-on favourite tag has a lot of merit. Newcastle have a poor away record, with one win, two draws and three defeats from six trips in all competitions.
There is also a clear difference in the teams' respective home and away records, with Spurs unbeaten in seven home matches across all competitions (W3, D4), giving a real fortress feel to the hosts' venue.
The visitors concede an average of 2.00 goals per away match in all competitions and that's a big red flag when playing against a possession-based side that can play with a sustained rhythm.
A lively game is expected
Tottenham have scored 1.86 goals per home match in all competitions this season and we think that they can get the edge in North London against a side that concedes plenty of chances. However, the value also lies in backing the draw and both teams to score at 57/100 and over 2.5 goals at 13/20.
Newcastle's Harvey Barnes has the potential to light up the game as he is their main creative spark and has scored two of their six goals in their last five games. He has been getting his eye in and we feel he can get on the scoresheet on Saturday.
