- Treaty United FC have won two of their last three home games against UCD.
- UCD's style of play should create a stark contrast between the sides, which should tell us a lot about the visitors' approach.
- UCD have two wins and four defeats from their last six competitive away games.
Tight fixture to play out at Markets Field
UCD got the better of this fixture the last time the sides met, taking a 3-0 victory away at Treaty two months ago in the First Division 2026, but we think things could be a little closer when the second-tier side come to town this time around.
Treaty are unbeaten in their last five (W2, D2) and have won their last two games in a row, while UCD have won just two of their last five (D0, L3) and are currently on a two-match losing streak.
However, the form of these two sides looks better than it actually is, with Treaty boasting three wins, three draws and four defeats from their last ten in all competitions, while UCD have posted four wins and six defeats over the same period.
Odds look a little skewed
Although these sides appear evenly matched on paper, the odds on this one are slightly skewed, with UCD available at 97/100 favourites, Treaty at 229/100 and the draw at 13/5.
The fact that these sides are in the same division should make this a close game, but UCD's more high-tempo, press-heavy style should cause a contrast with what these two teams have been doing all season.
Barrett has moulded a compact team who like to sit in blocks, absorb pressure and nick chances with runners and set-piece delivery.
Andy Myler has been in charge of UCD since December 2019 and his side are a possession-based team who will look to press high and be on the front foot. This approach should leave space in behind the first line if Treaty are able to break through the press.
Jason Oyenuga has been Treaty's livewire and has scored two of their five goals in their last five games. UCD are averaging 1.67 goals per away game across all competitions this term, scoring ten on the road, while Treaty are averaging 1.60 per home game, having scored eight.
UCD can avoid defeat
With two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five competitive home games, Treaty have found life tough at home this season, while UCD have been very poor travellers in all competitions, registering two wins and four defeats in their last six away games.
We're going for a draw or away win in this one, as UCD have the quality to nick a goal, and we think the most reliable angle of approach is for UCD to avoid defeat.
