- Tromso IL have won 3 of their last 5 home games in all competitions (D1, L1).
- Tromso IL have won their last 3 matches across all competitions (including a 2-1 home victory over CFR 1907 Cluj).
Seagulls can edge out a tricky trip to Norway
We're backing the hosts at 4/1 and the draw at 11/4 in the outright market as the other sides of this match bet for a small stakes punt.
Fabian Hurzeler's side come into the clash fresh from back-to-back home wins over AS Roma (3-0) and Bologna (1-0) in the Friendly Club Matches 2026, giving the manager and the club a solid platform to build from ahead of the Premier League campaign. Brighton have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 in all competitions, so they do come into this with decent momentum, but not in storming form.
Jørgen Vik has his Tromso IL side set up in a flat 3-5-2 system and he will have them set up to be compact and dangerous on the counter attack. The wing-backs are expected to stretch the play and then look to push the ball forward quickly to their forwards, who will look to play low crosses or get in behind the visitors' defence.
Gutan can make this tough for the English side
In 2026, Tromso IL have shown themselves to be a side that can hurt their opponents with their directness and their work from set pieces, but they have also conceded more than they would like to as well. Gutan have conceded 0.80 goals per game at home in all competitions and have scored 2.20 at their Romssa Arena home, which shows that they are well drilled and strong at home, but they will need to keep their goals out to take anything from this clash.
Dahlqvist has been their main outlet in these UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 encounters with 3 goals in 2 games and he will be the main target for Brighton's defenders, but the hosts have another dangerous finisher in Heine Aasen Larsen, who has chipped in with 4 goals in their last 5 in all competitions. The pace and intensity with which Hurzeler has set up his Seagulls will give them lots of chances, but we think it could be a tricky away day in Norway for Brighton.
Squeeze Brighton to win and both teams to score
Brighton are rightfully favourites here, but we're going to squeeze them. However, Tromso's form going into this tie suggests a competitive match, so we're taking the 31/50 on both teams to net alongside the main selection.
Over 2.5 goals at 7/10 looks like the cleaner angle to take here, but we're happy to get the odds against on the BTTS market, knowing that the result is where the bigger profit lies.
