- Borussia Dortmund have failed to win on their last 2 away H2Hs.
- VfB Stuttgart have conceded just 12 goals in 13 home games (0.92 goals per game on average) in the Bundesliga 2025/2026.
- Borussia Dortmund have conceded 15 goals in 13 Bundesliga 2025/2026 away games (1.15 goals per game on average).
Stuttgart’s possession-based game vs Dortmund’s direct play
VfB Stuttgart sit third in the Bundesliga 2025/2026 table with 53 points from 27 games, while Borussia Dortmund are a massive 8 points above them in second with 61 points after 27 games. With just a few games remaining and European places on the line, this clash promises to be an intense encounter between 2 of the best sides in Germany.
Stuttgart’s boss Sebastian Hoeneß has been able to unite his squad with a clear playing philosophy, which is to control the tempo, dominate possession and open up the opposition with structured pressing, patient build-up play and movement through the half-spaces.
Borussia Dortmund are a completely different kettle of fish, with Niko Kovac bringing a more direct approach with his tactical acumen, where the ball is moved quickly in transitions and wing-back width is maximised to great effect. There are many different styles at play here, but the ability to dictate the play and control the transitions could be key.
Hoeneß has united the Stuttgart squad
VfB Stuttgart have a slight edge in the H2H record, winning two of the last three and not losing any of them in the Bundesliga 2025/2026. The most recent clash was a thrilling 3-3 draw in Dortmund just 4 months ago and with Dortmund’s current form, a similar affair is expected.
Recent form has been more inconsistent for Stuttgart, with just 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches across all competitions. A late winner against RB Leipzig at home was a huge result just a couple of weeks ago and they thrashed Augsburg 5-2 in their latest away game in the Bundesliga 2025/2026.
Dortmund have won their last 3 games and are unbeaten in 5 across all competitions (W3, D1, L1). They’ve drawn their last 2 Bundesliga 2025/2026 away clashes against Stuttgart, but they have won 7, drawn 5 and only lost 1 of their 13 Bundesliga 2025/2026 away games this season!
Dortmund’s away form is top class
Deniz Undav is undoubtedly the most in-form attacker for the hosts, with 18 goals in 23 Bundesliga 2025/2026 appearances. He has scored 5 of Stuttgart’s last 9 goals, but I’m backing Dortmund to score as well here, with Serhou Guirassy leading the line for Dortmund with 13 Bundesliga 2025/2026 goals in 26 appearances.
The odds for a home win are still incredibly generous at 5/4, whilst Over 2.5 goals is 21/50 and Both Teams to Score - Yes is 2/5, which are my predictions for this clash. With late season motivation and European football on the line, I’m expecting a real thriller here and with Dortmund’s impressive away form, I can see the visitors grabbing a goal here. I’m siding with Stuttgart, who are incredibly strong at home and can claim a massive result here to close the gap on Dortmund.
