- Leverkusen have won the last two H2H meetings, including a 4-1 victory at home in Bundesliga 2025/2026.
- Leverkusen have a perfect home record in Bundesliga 2026/2027, averaging 4.0 goals per game and are yet to concede in that game.
- Leipzig have a less than perfect away record in Bundesliga 2026/2027, losing their only away game and are leaking 3.0 goals per away game on average.
Werkself are flying under Martinez
The odds suggest that Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the favourites to take the win on Sunday when they host RB Leipzig in Germany, but the bookies have not quite understood the balance of play in this fixture just yet.
The home side are listed at 1.9 to win ahead of Leipzig at 3.35, with the draw available at 4.1, which looks extremely short considering that Leverkusen have won the last 2 meetings and were emphatic 4-1 winners at home in Bundesliga 2025/2026.
The Werkself are coming into this clash in mixed form, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 of their last 5 competitive matches, but they have looked particularly strong at the BayArena since Carles Martinez took over on 4th June 2026.
Leipzig will give as good as they get
Their last 3 outings have seen them lose 3-2 away at SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga, win 4-0 at home to 1. FC Union Berlin in the Bundesliga and draw 2-2 away at FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga. That's not a bad run of results at all, but they must improve on their start to the 2026-2027 campaign if they're to keep pace with the leaders.
Martin Demichelis took over at Leipzig on 1st July 2026 and so far his team are still very much built around high-intensity pressing. The visitors will give as good as they will get, and that's a recipe for a fascinating, end-to-end clash at BayArena.
Leipzig's form has been mixed, with 3 wins and 2 defeats from their 5 games this season. They lost 4-1 in their first UEFA Champions League clash away at Calcio Como and were ruthless in beating Hamburger SV 5-0 at home in the Bundesliga, but they have won 1 and lost 2 of their 3 away games so far this season across all competitions.
Leverkusen’s home edge is real
Leverkusen's form, whilst much better, is also a little mixed, and that makes us think twice about backing them to win at short odds. The difference is that the home side have 1 win from 1 game this term at the BayArena and their back line have been locked in.
Across 5 previous home H2Hs, Leverkusen have scored 3.0 goals on average against RB, who have scored 2.0 in their travels, so we're going for a high-scoring 2-2 draw in this match-up of Bundesliga 2026/2027's 7th and 4th placed clubs on Sunday.
Werkself and RB Leipzig are both in transition, but their respective styles of play don't seem to be changing much. Leverkusen run high intensity attacks, where they make pacey runs and then use their physical strength to create opportunities in the penalty box, while Leipzig will press high and try to get the ball back in dangerous areas.
Schick and Baku are in the goals
Patrik Schick is Leverkusen's danger man, leading their scoring charts with 3 goals in 3 games in Bundesliga 2026/2027, and accounting for 5 of their last 11 goals across all current competitions.
Ridle Baku has been Leipzig's sharpest finisher in the opening games of the Bundesliga season, topping their scoring chart with 2 goals from 2 games.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.36 is our strongest recommendation, but both teams to score at 1.36 is also a good option for an entertaining game.
