- Leverkusen are unbeaten at home in all competitions this season (W3, D1).
- Union Berlin have a record (W2, D2, L3).
- Leverkusen have conceded just two in their last four home matches.
Werkself have the edge over Die Eisernen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen have the Bundesliga 2026-2027 edge over 1. FC Union Berlin in the current head-to-head, with the Werkself having won three of the last five meetings (D1, L1) and the visitors having won the other.
Union Berlin came to Leverkusen just six months ago and nicked a 1-0 away win, so they know how to pull off the odd upset in this fixture. But it's the hosts that are in the better form, having won their last two matches, including a 4-0 cruise at SV Wehen Wiesbaden in the DFB-Pokal and a 2-1 friendly win at Newcastle.
Carles Martínez has Bayer 04 Leverkusen playing some structured, possession-based football, controlling the game from the build-up on the wings with their wing-backs often overlapping. They've conceded just twice in their four home games to date and have some serious firepower up front with Patrik Schick topping the scoring charts with four in his last five appearances.
Union's Mauro Lustrinelli looks to have given the club a more active, vertical identity this season. There is more pressing from them in their shape, they get forward quicker in transition and are a greater threat on the counter-attack. They're not as consistent as Leverkusen, however, and have a mixed record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats in their last 10 matches.
Die Eisernen can keep this close
Union's form line is a little tough to read for this fixture, as they beat Aris Limmasol 3-2 at home, lost 4-2 at home to Ipswich Town and saw off TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 4-2 in the DFB-Pokal away from home in their last three.
Leverkusen look the much better team at 1.47 compared to 5.8 for the visitors and 4.6 for the draw, so I'm going to take Union to at least keep this competitive.
An Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.44 looks a good price to fit the attacking styles of both sides, while BTTS - Yes at 1.55 also looks a nice entry point, as Union's press and transition play could really hurt Leverkusen's structured shape if they can force the wing-backs into defensive action.
Leverkusen have the quality to nick it, but Union could keep it closer than the odds suggest, so I'm taking a 2-1 home win in the correct score market. Ilyas Ansah is Union's sharpest spark with two goals in his last five and can hit the net again here.
