- Leipzig have won four of their last four home matches in all current competitions and scored 10 goals in those four games.
- Gladbach have taken four wins and a draw from their last six away matches across all current competitions and have scored 20 goals in those six games.
- Leipicz have won one, drawn one and lost one of the last three Bundesliga 2025/2026 H2H encounters and Gladbach have failed to win any of their last three trips to Leipzig.
Gladbach can cause an upset
RB Leipzig open the Bundesliga 2026-2027 with a home game against Borussia Monchengladbach on Saturday and there's nothing to suggest that Die Fohlen are incapable of causing an upset at Red Bull Arena.
Martin Demichelis has brought an incredibly intense style of play to Leipzig since taking over as head coach on 1st July 2026, one based on high-tempo football, vertical passing and relentless counter-pressing, where his team looks to win the ball back as high up the pitch as possible to create their own opportunities.
Die Roten Bullen have suffered two consecutive defeats, both away from home, to Leeds United and Bayern Munich, after romping to a 4-0 win at home to SC Verl 1924 last weekend, but they've won three and lost two of their last five matches in all competitions and that's a volatile record.
By contrast, Gladbach have been on a red-hot streak of late, taking seven wins, two draws and a single defeat from their last ten matches. In that period, Eugen Polanski has fashioned a more structured and flexible tactical plan to suit his players since taking over on 15 September 2025.
Die Fohlen are far more control-based, managing the tempo of the game with their selective pressing and organised transitions, but they still know how to play their part in the chaos if needed.
In the 2025/2026 season, Gladbach beat FC Hansa Rostock and SSVg Velbert on the road before taking a 2-1 scalp of Aston Villa at home, which gives them momentum going into Saturday's game.
Leipzig are the 1.55 favourites, which seems about right given they have the home advantage. However, the 5.1 on Gladbach appeals more because of their current form and the fact that this game looks likely to be a close, tactical battle.
The draw at 4.35 is a playable option in this spot, but the most attractive market is Over 2.5 goals at 1.48, which looks a sure thing given the pace and numbers each side have in the attacking zones.
BTTS Yes at 1.53 is also a favourite that should come in, but Brajan Gruda looks like Leipzig's spark for the goals, having hit two of their three strikes in the last five games.
