- Como's last five across all current competitions are: 4 wins and 1 loss.
- Cagliari's away record in Serie A 2026/2027 is W3, D0, L3.
- Como beat Cagliari 2-1 away in Serie A 2025/2026, eight months ago.
Como can control the tempo and break in behind
Calcio Como are unbeaten in two head-to-head encounters with Cagliari and they sit fifth in Serie A 2026/2027 with 23 points from their 11 games, while the Isolani sit ninth on 16 points after as many games.
The Lariani have a winning mindset and they have won their last two at home. Cesc Fàbregas has got them playing an intelligent 4-2-3-1 system that can morph into a 3-2-5 when they get on the front foot, with a high line and pressing the life out of opponents at the start of their attacks when they control the ball.
But they are ruthless in possession, as RC Lens found out when Como thumped them 9-1 away in the UEFA Champions League - League Phase 2026/2027. A 2-0 defeat away to Inter Milan in Serie A 2026/2027 followed, but the Lariani are starting to look the real deal.
Cagliari can nick a goal, but it may not be enough
Cagliari will be licking their lips at the prospect of playing Como as Cagliari have lost their last three away games, so the Isolani are under pressure to win here. Fabio Pisacane's men have been experimenting with 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-2-1 systems in recent weeks, the compact style allowing them to get men behind the ball while M'Bala Nzola and Daniel Maldini can threaten on the break.
The two most recent games were a 2-1 away defeat to Lazio and a 1-0 home win over Frosinone, so it's hard to judge how Cagliari will approach this one. They have been poor to average in all competitions in their last five, winning once and losing four.
Home is where Como’s heart is
Calcio Como are heavy odds-on favourites at 1.29, while Cagliari are 9.0 and the draw is 5.1, so we're not interested in the match betting for this one. The Both teams to score market looks live at 1.83, but our money is on Como to win in what should be a tight encounter.
Como's attacking threat, especially in front of goal, and Cagliari's leaky away defence, should ensure over 2.5 goals is a good bet at 1.5. Daniel Maldini is Cagliari's Serie A 2026/2027 top scorer with three goals in five games, but Anastasios Douvikas has been Como's most lethal player in this division with two goals in five games. M'Bala Nzola has scored two of Cagliari's four goals in their last five, so he is the man to watch for a counterpunch.
