- AS Roma are undefeated at home in Serie A 2026/2027, winning 3 and drawing 1 of their first 4 matches and averaging 2.50 goals per game.
- Cagliari have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their 4 Serie A 2026/2027 away games, conceding 5 goals.
- In Serie A 2026/2027, Roma are 3rd on 17 points from 7 matches, while Cagliari are 7th on 13 from 7.
Roma’s high-risk, high-reward game to outscore Cagliari
Roma are the strong favourites at 1.33 for Tuesday's Serie A clash with Cagliari at Stadio Olimpico and the bookies are correct to make them such.
The Giallorossi have looked terrific since Gian Piero Gasperini took over in June 2025, his signature high-tempo, vertical, 3-at-the-back style with high pressing lines having hit the ground running.
They have just come off back-to-back wins over Genoa (2-0) and SK Slovan Bratislava (4-0) in Serie A and Champions League action respectively, a double result that suggests they have plenty of confidence about them ahead of this.
Cagliari are a very different side, but one that has been equally impressive in the opening months of the season.
Fabio Pisacane has got his men to pack the centre of the field, be compact and flexible, absorb pressure and then hurt opponents on the counterattack.
Daniel Maldini has been their danger man in Serie A 2026/2027, netting 3 in 5 league matches, but has been particularly effective of late with three of his goals having come in their last 5.
Michel Ndary Adopo has also chipped in with 2 assists in 5 Serie A matches so Cagliari have a bit of a spark between the lines.
The rossoblù have had an up-and-down run of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, so their level hasn't been as consistent as Roma's.
However, they did hold Juventus to a 1-1 draw in Sardinia before their 4-0 thrashing away to Monza, so they are capable of frustrating the Giallorossi for spells.
Backing Roma to win is the obvious choice here as they should have enough of a grip on the game for this not to be close if they can get their press going.
We have to like the home side's odds of 1.33 at Olimpico, which is a bit sharp if you ask us.
But that makes us look elsewhere for the value, preferring both teams not to score on the same game at 1.73, because Cagliari still pack a punch away from home and have a goal in them at some point in the match.
Roma's last win over Cagliari was 8 months ago in Serie A 2025/2026 when they won 2-0 at home, but they haven't won any of their last 3 games at Roma, so they know they have to come to play here.
The game styles of the two teams will ensure that Roma dictate the pace and Cagliari wait for mistakes and set-piece opportunities.
But, with Donyell Malen in his element, Gasperini has a proper goalscorer up front and that could make the difference to this game.
