- Celta have won two and drawn three of their last five matches in all competitions
- Osasuna have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five in all competitions
- Celta have won three of the last five meetings, Osasuna have claimed the other two
Giráldez’s Celta are getting there
Claudio Giráldez has been making a good fist of his role as Celta de Vigo boss since taking the job on 13 March 2024. He has moulded them into a youthful, positional-possession side that can play in any style and has made them tough to beat in the process.
Their home record in this fixture in recent times has been pretty average, but Osasuna are the team that won 2-1 here in LaLiga 2025/2026, keeping the revenge angle alive. Celta have taken three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five at home in all competitions, so they will be very sturdy opponents for Los Rojillos at Abanca Balaidos on Thursday.
Giráldez's men set up to dominate the ball and pull opponents apart with patient build-up play, fluid midfield rotations and selective counter-pressing to get it back and overload the next phase. The pace at which they play could be key to the outcome here as Ramis's men will be looking to stay compact, press on triggers and then look to exploit the space that should be available in behind on the counter.
Ramis’ Osasuna are sturdy, but not great
Luis Ramis has been on the job since 1 July 2026 and has kept Osasuna rooted in a compact, structure-first approach. They sit in a disciplined mid-block, press on triggers and, when they regain possession, they can be very effective at playing vertically and quickly.
Osasuna's away form in recent weeks has been reasonable, but not exceptional with two wins, one draw and one defeat from their last four in all competitions. Ramis' side have scored 1.33 goals per away game on average and conceded 1.50, which suggests they are not the best travelling team in Spain at the moment.
The verdict
Celta are the correct pick to win this game at 1.96, although they are only marginally ahead of the draw at 3.3 and Osasuna at 3.9. The odds on the game suggest this should be a tight encounter and that is what we think it will be.
The Under 2.5 goals at 1.7 looks the best option for the match result, while BTTS No at 1.85 is the sharper pick. Celta have scored nine goals in their last five home games in all competitions, which is enough to get the better of most back four and Osasuna should have enough to make the hosts work hard to earn the result.
