- Motherwell are a clear 1.54 favourites for this second leg with HB Torshavn at 5.8 and the draw at 4.4.
- Under 2.5 goals is 1.95 and BTTS is drifting close to even money.
Motherwell can edge it with more quality
Motherwell are rightfully clear favourites to beat HB Torshavn again in the Faroe Islands, but the match odds seem a bit short and we think a tight second leg is in the offing.
The Scottish side are already 2-0 up in this UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 tie after an excellent first-leg performance and a performance like that should be enough to see them through to the next round.
The visitors are the rightful favourites for this game, but the prices do seem a little short with HB Torshavn coming in at 5.8 and the draw at 4.4.
A lot depends on how the home side react to the first leg defeat and the fact they have nothing to lose, but the market is usually right on these games and the 1.95 on under 2.5 goals does make sense as a value bet.
Well to win at the double
Both teams to score also makes sense to be around the even money mark and we're not so sure on that bet as there has been an average of 1.00 goal scored and 2.00 conceded per away match in Motherwell's away fixtures across all competitions.
They have conceded 2.00 per game across all away matches too, so they can be got at by HB if the home team can be patient and disciplined.
Motherwell do have the advantage, however, with the Scottish Premiership side in possession of the quality and momentum to edge this tie.
Alfred Johansson's team are proactive and possession-based with a clear desire to press and push play forward, while HB Torshavn are a more pragmatic, compact side under the guidance of Andre Olsen.
Goals could be scarce at the Gundadalur
The hosts like to play with two players in the double pivot and force their opponents wide - and this could well be a long game with lots of back and forth.
The hosts score 2.00 goals per home game across all competitions so they can do the business in front of their own fans, but Motherwell have more quality in their ranks.
Mathias Voss, who has provided four assists in his last five appearances, will be a constant threat for HB on the counter as they can bite in transition.
Lukas Fadinger is another one to watch as he has already scored one goal in one Conference League appearance and is a livewire in the final third.
We're expecting a cagey game in the Faroes on Thursday and Motherwell's extra quality and experience should see them through even if they don't get the convincing win the bookmakers are expecting.
Motherwell have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats in their last 10 in all competitions so they have been a bit shakey, but HB are 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats in the same period so can certainly compete.
